Trader consensus around an 86.5% implied probability for a foldable iPhone release before 2027 stems primarily from repeated supply-chain confirmations and analyst reports placing the device in Apple’s fall 2026 iPhone 18 lineup. Production ramp-up with suppliers like Foxconn is already slated for late 2025, while Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and MacRumors roundups from early June 2026 reinforce a September or December 2026 window despite earlier hinge and engineering-test concerns. These developments align with Apple’s pattern of extending flagship timelines only when necessary, keeping a pre-2027 debut the clearest path. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on manufacturing yields or official iPhone 18 positioning ahead of typical September announcements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$172,798 Vol.
$172,798 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$172,798 Vol.
$172,798 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus around an 86.5% implied probability for a foldable iPhone release before 2027 stems primarily from repeated supply-chain confirmations and analyst reports placing the device in Apple’s fall 2026 iPhone 18 lineup. Production ramp-up with suppliers like Foxconn is already slated for late 2025, while Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and MacRumors roundups from early June 2026 reinforce a September or December 2026 window despite earlier hinge and engineering-test concerns. These developments align with Apple’s pattern of extending flagship timelines only when necessary, keeping a pre-2027 debut the clearest path. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on manufacturing yields or official iPhone 18 positioning ahead of typical September announcements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Volume
$172,798Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus around an 86.5% implied probability for a foldable iPhone release before 2027 stems primarily from repeated supply-chain confirmations and analyst reports placing the device in Apple’s fall 2026 iPhone 18 lineup. Production ramp-up with suppliers like Foxconn is already slated for late 2025, while Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and MacRumors roundups from early June 2026 reinforce a September or December 2026 window despite earlier hinge and engineering-test concerns. These developments align with Apple’s pattern of extending flagship timelines only when necessary, keeping a pre-2027 debut the clearest path. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on manufacturing yields or official iPhone 18 positioning ahead of typical September announcements.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$172,798Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus around an 86.5% implied probability for a foldable iPhone release before 2027 stems primarily from repeated supply-chain confirmations and analyst reports placing the device in Apple’s fall 2026 iPhone 18 lineup. Production ramp-up with suppliers like Foxconn is already slated for late 2025, while Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and MacRumors roundups from early June 2026 reinforce a September or December 2026 window despite earlier hinge and engineering-test concerns. These developments align with Apple’s pattern of extending flagship timelines only when necessary, keeping a pre-2027 debut the clearest path. Key near-term catalysts include any updates on manufacturing yields or official iPhone 18 positioning ahead of typical September announcements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes