Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain confidence that no additional country beyond the initial five—Ireland, Netherlands, Slovenia, Spain, and Iceland—will boycott Eurovision 2026 by the March 31 deadline, as the EBU finalized its list of 35 participating nations back in December 2025 following those early withdrawals over Israel's inclusion amid Gaza tensions. With Vienna preparations underway for the May 12-16 event, including host announcements and national selection processes advancing smoothly, no new geopolitical flashpoints or broadcaster statements have emerged in the past three months to fuel further pullouts. This stability underscores the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though a highly improbable last-minute diplomatic rupture could theoretically spark an upset before the contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOui
$22,371 Vol.
$22,371 Vol.
31 mars 2026
Oui
$22,371 Vol.
$22,371 Vol.
31 mars 2026
Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain confidence that no additional country beyond the initial five—Ireland, Netherlands, Slovenia, Spain, and Iceland—will boycott Eurovision 2026 by the March 31 deadline, as the EBU finalized its list of 35 participating nations back in December 2025 following those early withdrawals over Israel's inclusion amid Gaza tensions. With Vienna preparations underway for the May 12-16 event, including host announcements and national selection processes advancing smoothly, no new geopolitical flashpoints or broadcaster statements have emerged in the past three months to fuel further pullouts. This stability underscores the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though a highly improbable last-minute diplomatic rupture could theoretically spark an upset before the contest.
Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 12, 2025, 4:50 PM ET
Volume
$22,371Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain confidence that no additional country beyond the initial five—Ireland, Netherlands, Slovenia, Spain, and Iceland—will boycott Eurovision 2026 by the March 31 deadline, as the EBU finalized its list of 35 participating nations back in December 2025 following those early withdrawals over Israel's inclusion amid Gaza tensions. With Vienna preparations underway for the May 12-16 event, including host announcements and national selection processes advancing smoothly, no new geopolitical flashpoints or broadcaster statements have emerged in the past three months to fuel further pullouts. This stability underscores the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though a highly improbable last-minute diplomatic rupture could theoretically spark an upset before the contest.
Iceland has become the fifth country to announce a boycott of the 2026 Eurovision Song Contest over Israel’s participation. You can read more about this development here: https://www.theguardian.com/tv-and-radio/2025/dec/10/iceland-becomes-fifth-country-to-boycott-eurovison-2026-over-israel.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country other than Iceland, Spain, Slovenia, the Netherlands, or Ireland announces a boycott of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 between this market’s creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only boycotts, defined as official declarations of non-participation, will qualify for resolution. Bans or exclusions will not qualify.
The qualifying boycott announcement must occur within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective countries, the European Broadcasting Union (EBU), and Eurovision; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$22,371Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certain confidence that no additional country beyond the initial five—Ireland, Netherlands, Slovenia, Spain, and Iceland—will boycott Eurovision 2026 by the March 31 deadline, as the EBU finalized its list of 35 participating nations back in December 2025 following those early withdrawals over Israel's inclusion amid Gaza tensions. With Vienna preparations underway for the May 12-16 event, including host announcements and national selection processes advancing smoothly, no new geopolitical flashpoints or broadcaster statements have emerged in the past three months to fuel further pullouts. This stability underscores the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets, though a highly improbable last-minute diplomatic rupture could theoretically spark an upset before the contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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