Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Nasdaq 100's March close leans toward levels above 18,500, with implied probabilities around 65% for breaching recent highs, fueled by unrelenting AI-driven gains in mega-cap tech like Nvidia and Microsoft, which propelled NDX to a record 18,669 last week amid $2.5 trillion in market cap added YTD. Sustained momentum hinges on March 12 CPI data signaling cooling inflation for a potential Fed pause, followed by the March 19-20 FOMC meeting where dot plot revisions could confirm 75bps cuts this year, boosting risk assets. However, overbought RSI near 70 flags rotation risks to small caps if yields spike, with key support at 18,000.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$60,551 Vol.
↓ 20400
3%
↓ 20250
2%
↓ 20100
3%
↓ 19875
3%
↓ 19 650
1%
↓ 19 350
2%
↓ 18975
1%
$60,551 Vol.
↓ 20400
3%
↓ 20250
2%
↓ 20100
3%
↓ 19875
3%
↓ 19 650
1%
↓ 19 350
2%
↓ 18975
1%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX).
Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for Nasdaq 100's March close leans toward levels above 18,500, with implied probabilities around 65% for breaching recent highs, fueled by unrelenting AI-driven gains in mega-cap tech like Nvidia and Microsoft, which propelled NDX to a record 18,669 last week amid $2.5 trillion in market cap added YTD. Sustained momentum hinges on March 12 CPI data signaling cooling inflation for a potential Fed pause, followed by the March 19-20 FOMC meeting where dot plot revisions could confirm 75bps cuts this year, boosting risk assets. However, overbought RSI near 70 flags rotation risks to small caps if yields spike, with key support at 18,000.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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