Polymarket traders assign modest implied probabilities to Tesla (TSLA) surpassing $300 by March 2026—around 25% for the $250-400 range—reflecting skepticism over near-term EV demand slowdowns amid high interest rates and Chinese competition, with Q3 deliveries at 462,890 missing estimates. Primary drivers include autonomy milestones like Full Self-Driving v13 scaling and Cybercab production ramp, potentially unlocking robotaxi revenue streams projected at $10B+ annually by analysts. Recent robotaxi event underwhelmed without firm timelines, pressuring shares to $217. Key catalysts ahead: Q3 earnings on Oct 23 for margin guidance, FSD regulatory approvals, and 2025 volume targets amid 18x forward P/E valuation versus auto peers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que Tesla (TSLA) frappera en mars 2026 ?
Qu'est-ce que Tesla (TSLA) frappera en mars 2026 ?
$245,095 Vol.
↑ 570 $
<1%
↑ 533 $
<1%
↑ 503 $
<1%
↑ 473 $
<1%
↑ 450 $
4%
↑ 435 $
5%
↑ 420 $
14%
↓ 353 $
10%
↓ 330 $
4%
↓ 300 $
1%
↓ 263 $
1%
$245,095 Vol.
↑ 570 $
<1%
↑ 533 $
<1%
↑ 503 $
<1%
↑ 473 $
<1%
↑ 450 $
4%
↑ 435 $
5%
↑ 420 $
14%
↓ 353 $
10%
↓ 330 $
4%
↓ 300 $
1%
↓ 263 $
1%
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign modest implied probabilities to Tesla (TSLA) surpassing $300 by March 2026—around 25% for the $250-400 range—reflecting skepticism over near-term EV demand slowdowns amid high interest rates and Chinese competition, with Q3 deliveries at 462,890 missing estimates. Primary drivers include autonomy milestones like Full Self-Driving v13 scaling and Cybercab production ramp, potentially unlocking robotaxi revenue streams projected at $10B+ annually by analysts. Recent robotaxi event underwhelmed without firm timelines, pressuring shares to $217. Key catalysts ahead: Q3 earnings on Oct 23 for margin guidance, FSD regulatory approvals, and 2025 volume targets amid 18x forward P/E valuation versus auto peers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes