Polymarket trader consensus for Tesla's March 2026 performance heavily favors upside scenarios, driven by anticipated Robotaxi production ramp-up and Optimus robot scaling, with market-implied odds reflecting post-election optimism on regulatory tailwinds under a potential Trump administration. TSLA shares have surged over 50% to around $350 since November 2024 lows, fueled by Q3 earnings beats showing $25.2 billion revenue and 19.8% auto gross margins despite EV demand softness. Key risks include intensifying Chinese competition and high interest rates curbing affordability, while upcoming Q4 earnings on January 29, 2025, and FSD regulatory updates could shift probabilities amid 40% annualized volatility. Traders should monitor 2026 delivery guidance thresholds for resolution clarity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQu'est-ce que Tesla (TSLA) frappera en mars 2026 ?
Qu'est-ce que Tesla (TSLA) frappera en mars 2026 ?
$231,695 Vol.
↑ 570 $
<1%
↑ 533 $
<1%
↑ 503 $
<1%
↑ 473 $
1%
↑ 450 $
7%
↑ 435 $
9%
↑ 420 $
12%
↓ 353 $
54%
↓ 330 $
13%
↓ 300 $
1%
↓ 263 $
<1%
$231,695 Vol.
↑ 570 $
<1%
↑ 533 $
<1%
↑ 503 $
<1%
↑ 473 $
1%
↑ 450 $
7%
↑ 435 $
9%
↑ 420 $
12%
↓ 353 $
54%
↓ 330 $
13%
↓ 300 $
1%
↓ 263 $
<1%
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket trader consensus for Tesla's March 2026 performance heavily favors upside scenarios, driven by anticipated Robotaxi production ramp-up and Optimus robot scaling, with market-implied odds reflecting post-election optimism on regulatory tailwinds under a potential Trump administration. TSLA shares have surged over 50% to around $350 since November 2024 lows, fueled by Q3 earnings beats showing $25.2 billion revenue and 19.8% auto gross margins despite EV demand softness. Key risks include intensifying Chinese competition and high interest rates curbing affordability, while upcoming Q4 earnings on January 29, 2025, and FSD regulatory updates could shift probabilities amid 40% annualized volatility. Traders should monitor 2026 delivery guidance thresholds for resolution clarity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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