Name: Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?
Start: 2024-02-29T22:02:20.372Z
End: 2024-03-31T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vanguard offers one or more Bitcoin ETF products for purchase or otherwise allows the purchasing of Bitcoin directly on their platform by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Vanguard, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if BIP-360 is implemented on the Bitcoin network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings.

For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

MicroStrategy annoncera-t-elle détenir plus de 800 000 BTC d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT has a final "Low" price below MicroStrategy’s reported “Avg BTC Cost” at any point between January 21, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar.

MicroStrategy’s average buy price will be taken from the “Avg BTC Cost” value shown in its publicly reported Bitcoin holdings table available at https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Only Binance BTC/USDT data will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or timeframes will not be considered.

Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto

If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.




Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?

Contexte du Marché

Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?

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Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?

Contexte du Marché

Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April?

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