Tesla shares have slid 35% from December highs to around $238 amid weakening EV demand in China and Europe, where sales dropped 49% and 76% year-over-year in February, pressuring margins to 18.1% in Q4. Polymarket traders price a modest 42% implied probability of TSLA closing above the key threshold on March 23, reflecting skepticism over near-term recovery despite Elon Musk's promises of affordable models by mid-2025. Bullish catalysts include potential FSD regulatory wins and Q1 delivery figures due early April, but risks loom from high inventory and 13% short interest. Watch $240 support; a break could accelerate downside ahead of the March 18-19 FOMC meeting on rates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour360 $
70%
370 $
50%
380 $
28%
390 $
9%
400 $
1%
$426 Vol.
360 $
70%
370 $
50%
380 $
28%
390 $
9%
400 $
1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares have slid 35% from December highs to around $238 amid weakening EV demand in China and Europe, where sales dropped 49% and 76% year-over-year in February, pressuring margins to 18.1% in Q4. Polymarket traders price a modest 42% implied probability of TSLA closing above the key threshold on March 23, reflecting skepticism over near-term recovery despite Elon Musk's promises of affordable models by mid-2025. Bullish catalysts include potential FSD regulatory wins and Q1 delivery figures due early April, but risks loom from high inventory and 13% short interest. Watch $240 support; a break could accelerate downside ahead of the March 18-19 FOMC meeting on rates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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