Trader consensus on Polymarket prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27 at 99.1%, driven by FlightAware's real-time tally of 6,544 delays within, into, or out of the United States as of March 28. This commanding lead stems from acute TSA staffing shortages amid a prolonged partial DHS government shutdown, resulting in three-hour-plus security lines at major airports like LaGuardia, O'Hare, and Bush, sparking mass missed connections and cascading delays; high winds disrupted New York-area (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia operations, while thunderstorms prompted FAA ground stops at Chicago O'Hare during peak Good Friday spring break demand. Challenges would require BTS official on-time statistics to drastically undercount delays upon release, an unlikely divergence from preliminary trackers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNumber of US Flights Delayed March 27?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 27?
>6,000 99.6%
<3,000 1.0%
5,000-5,500 <1%
5,500-6,000 <1%
$10,028 Vol.
$10,028 Vol.
<3,000
1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
<1%
4,500-5,000
<1%
5,000-5,500
1%
5,500-6,000
1%
>6,000
100%
>6,000 99.6%
<3,000 1.0%
5,000-5,500 <1%
5,500-6,000 <1%
$10,028 Vol.
$10,028 Vol.
<3,000
1%
3,000-3,500
<1%
3,500-4,000
<1%
4,000-4,500
<1%
4,500-5,000
<1%
5,000-5,500
1%
5,500-6,000
1%
>6,000
100%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices over 6,000 US flight delays on March 27 at 99.1%, driven by FlightAware's real-time tally of 6,544 delays within, into, or out of the United States as of March 28. This commanding lead stems from acute TSA staffing shortages amid a prolonged partial DHS government shutdown, resulting in three-hour-plus security lines at major airports like LaGuardia, O'Hare, and Bush, sparking mass missed connections and cascading delays; high winds disrupted New York-area (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia operations, while thunderstorms prompted FAA ground stops at Chicago O'Hare during peak Good Friday spring break demand. Challenges would require BTS official on-time statistics to drastically undercount delays upon release, an unlikely divergence from preliminary trackers.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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