Polymarket traders assign a 52% implied probability to Netflix (NFLX) closing above $615 by March 29, propelled by Q4 subscriber surge to 260.3 million—beating estimates by 100,000—and revenue of $8.83 billion topping consensus, underscoring password-sharing crackdown efficacy and ad-tier momentum. Shares trade at $610 amid 25% YTD gains, outpacing the Nasdaq, but face headwinds from valuation concerns at 35x forward earnings and streaming competition. Absent earnings before resolution, watch tech rotation risks and VIX spikes; month-end rebalancing could catalyze a push above the strike if sentiment holds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNetflix (NFLX) fermera-t-il au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
Netflix (NFLX) fermera-t-il au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
$41,477 Vol.
0,00 $
100%
20 $
100%
40 $
99%
60 $
99%
80 $
92%
100 $
13%
120 $
5%
140 $
1%
160 $
1%
180 $
2%
200 $
1%
$41,477 Vol.
0,00 $
100%
20 $
100%
40 $
99%
60 $
99%
80 $
92%
100 $
13%
120 $
5%
140 $
1%
160 $
1%
180 $
2%
200 $
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 52% implied probability to Netflix (NFLX) closing above $615 by March 29, propelled by Q4 subscriber surge to 260.3 million—beating estimates by 100,000—and revenue of $8.83 billion topping consensus, underscoring password-sharing crackdown efficacy and ad-tier momentum. Shares trade at $610 amid 25% YTD gains, outpacing the Nasdaq, but face headwinds from valuation concerns at 35x forward earnings and streaming competition. Absent earnings before resolution, watch tech rotation risks and VIX spikes; month-end rebalancing could catalyze a push above the strike if sentiment holds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes