A fresh Noble Predictive Insights poll released this week captures the razor-thin Nevada governor race, showing incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo at 39% and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford at 38% among registered voters, with 17% undecided and 6% backing third-party candidates—directly fueling trader consensus of near-even odds between Democrats and Republicans. Candidate filing concluded March 16, locking in Lombardo as the GOP frontrunner and Ford leading Democrats amid a crowded primary field, while high name recognition and modest favorables keep momentum balanced. Nevada's battleground dynamics, including split independents, regional divides between Clark County and Washoe County, and sensitivity to national midterm trends on economy and immigration, maintain the tight contest ahead of the June 9 primaries, where nominee clarity and endorsements could tip the scales.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$18,327 Vol.
$18,327 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
50%
Républicain
49%
$18,327 Vol.
$18,327 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
$3,806 Vol.
50%
Républicain
$14,521 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.A fresh Noble Predictive Insights poll released this week captures the razor-thin Nevada governor race, showing incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo at 39% and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford at 38% among registered voters, with 17% undecided and 6% backing third-party candidates—directly fueling trader consensus of near-even odds between Democrats and Republicans. Candidate filing concluded March 16, locking in Lombardo as the GOP frontrunner and Ford leading Democrats amid a crowded primary field, while high name recognition and modest favorables keep momentum balanced. Nevada's battleground dynamics, including split independents, regional divides between Clark County and Washoe County, and sensitivity to national midterm trends on economy and immigration, maintain the tight contest ahead of the June 9 primaries, where nominee clarity and endorsements could tip the scales.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$18,327Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.A fresh Noble Predictive Insights poll released this week captures the razor-thin Nevada governor race, showing incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo at 39% and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford at 38% among registered voters, with 17% undecided and 6% backing third-party candidates—directly fueling trader consensus of near-even odds between Democrats and Republicans. Candidate filing concluded March 16, locking in Lombardo as the GOP frontrunner and Ford leading Democrats amid a crowded primary field, while high name recognition and modest favorables keep momentum balanced. Nevada's battleground dynamics, including split independents, regional divides between Clark County and Washoe County, and sensitivity to national midterm trends on economy and immigration, maintain the tight contest ahead of the June 9 primaries, where nominee clarity and endorsements could tip the scales.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$18,327Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A fresh Noble Predictive Insights poll released this week captures the razor-thin Nevada governor race, showing incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo at 39% and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford at 38% among registered voters, with 17% undecided and 6% backing third-party candidates—directly fueling trader consensus of near-even odds between Democrats and Republicans. Candidate filing concluded March 16, locking in Lombardo as the GOP frontrunner and Ford leading Democrats amid a crowded primary field, while high name recognition and modest favorables keep momentum balanced. Nevada's battleground dynamics, including split independents, regional divides between Clark County and Washoe County, and sensitivity to national midterm trends on economy and immigration, maintain the tight contest ahead of the June 9 primaries, where nominee clarity and endorsements could tip the scales.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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