Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ?
Troy Jackson 100.0%
Graham Platner <1%
Jared Golden <1%
Chellie Pingree <1%
$904,316 Vol.
$904,316 Vol.
27 juil. 2026
Graham Platner
$143,051 Vol.
Non
Jared Golden
$54,048 Vol.
Non
Chellie Pingree
$7,842 Vol.
Non
Saundra Pelletier
$13,225 Vol.
Non
Dan Kleban
$34,277 Vol.
Non
Janet Mills
$36,974 Vol.
Non
Aaron Frey
$2,911 Vol.
Non
Jordan Wood
$24,079 Vol.
Non
Troy Jackson
$355,279 Vol.
Oui
Nirav Shah
$97,206 Vol.
Non
Shenna Bellows
$91,606 Vol.
Non
Paige Loud
$3,395 Vol.
Non
Valli Geiger
$30,783 Vol.
Non
David Costello
$9,413 Vol.
Non
Elizabeth Dickerson
$227 Vol.
Non
Troy Jackson 100.0%
Graham Platner <1%
Jared Golden <1%
Chellie Pingree <1%
$904,316 Vol.
$904,316 Vol.
27 juil. 2026
Graham Platner
$143,051 Vol.
Non
Jared Golden
$54,048 Vol.
Non
Chellie Pingree
$7,842 Vol.
Non
Saundra Pelletier
$13,225 Vol.
Non
Dan Kleban
$34,277 Vol.
Non
Janet Mills
$36,974 Vol.
Non
Aaron Frey
$2,911 Vol.
Non
Jordan Wood
$24,079 Vol.
Non
Troy Jackson
$355,279 Vol.
Oui
Nirav Shah
$97,206 Vol.
Non
Shenna Bellows
$91,606 Vol.
Non
Paige Loud
$3,395 Vol.
Non
Valli Geiger
$30,783 Vol.
Non
David Costello
$9,413 Vol.
Non
Elizabeth Dickerson
$227 Vol.
Non
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Jul 26 2026
Maine Democratic delegates confirm Troy Jackson as nominee to face Susan Collins
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
Following the convention, Maine Democratic delegates reaffirmed their support for Troy Jackson as the nominee, setting up a high-profile general election against incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially nominated as Maine Democratic Senate candidate at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party nominating convention, Troy Jackson was officially selected as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially selected as Maine Democratic Senate nominee at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party's nominating convention, Troy Jackson won a near-unanimous vote to replace Graham Platner as the Senate nominee, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially chosen as Maine Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At a special nominating convention, Maine Democrats overwhelmingly selected Troy Jackson as their new Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner, setting him up to challenge incumbent Republican Susan Collins in the November election.
Jul 25 2026
Maine Democratic Party holds nominating convention, selects Troy Jackson as Senate nominee
Troy Jackson jumps to 100%9%
At a state party convention in Bangor, Maine, 601 delegates voted overwhelmingly to select Troy Jackson as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner for the U.S. Senate race.
Jul 21 2026
Troy Jackson consolidates support as frontrunner for Maine Democratic Senate nomination
Troy Jackson jumps to 91%12%
Troy Jackson emerged as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination after other major candidates dropped out and he secured commitments from a large majority of delegates ahead of the convention.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson emerges as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee as opponents drop out
Troy Jackson jumps to 86%7%
Troy Jackson gained overwhelming support among delegates and saw major opponents like Shenna Bellows and Jordan Wood drop out, consolidating his position as the frontrunner to replace Platner.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson gains momentum as top Maine Senate Democratic candidate after opponents drop out
Troy Jackson surges to 70%25%
Several major Democratic candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, consolidating support behind him and boosting his chances to become the nominee.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson effectively secures Maine Democratic Senate nomination with delegate support
Troy Jackson surges to 91%21%
Troy Jackson's preferred delegates won a majority of seats at county nominating meetings, effectively securing his nomination ahead of the official convention, which increased market confidence in his nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders drop out, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson surges to 79%43%
Several top candidates, including Nirav Shah and Jordan Wood, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, who emerged as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders withdraw, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson jumps to 89%10%
Several top candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns, leaving Troy Jackson as the clear frontrunner with overwhelming delegate support ahead of the nominating convention. This caused Jackson's market price to surge.
Jul 18 2026
Maine counties hold delegate nominating meetings for Senate replacement convention
Yes rises to 78%3%
All 16 Maine counties conducted delegate nominating meetings to select 500 delegates who would participate in the July 25 convention to choose the new Democratic Senate nominee.
Jul 15 2026
Field of candidates emerges to replace Graham Platner as Maine Democratic Senate nominee
Following Platner's withdrawal, multiple Democrats filed to run as replacement candidates, initiating a competitive race for the party's nomination ahead of the July 27 deadline.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party finalizes process to select replacement nominee for Graham Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
Following Platner's withdrawal, the Maine Democratic Party announced a special nominating convention to be held on July 25, where delegates from all counties would vote to select the new Senate nominee.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party sets plan for nominating convention to replace Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
The Maine Democratic Party announced a plan to hold a nominating convention to select a new Senate nominee by July 27, following Platner's withdrawal. This announcement set the stage for a competitive replacement process.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally files paperwork to withdraw from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner officially submitted his withdrawal paperwork to the Maine Secretary of State, confirming his exit from the race and triggering the process for the Maine Democratic Party to select a replacement nominee by July 27.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally withdraws from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner submitted official paperwork to withdraw from the Senate race, confirming his exit and enabling the Maine Democratic Party to begin the process of selecting a replacement nominee. This formal withdrawal solidified the market's shift away from Platner.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner withdraws from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegations
Graham Platner dips to 0%4%
Graham Platner, the Democratic primary winner, ended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denied. This triggered the Maine Democratic Party's process to select a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to collapse to zero.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner suspends Maine Senate campaign amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced he was suspending his campaign after a woman accused him of sexual assault, which he denied. This announcement initiated the process for the Maine Democratic Party to find a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to plummet.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner announces plan to withdraw from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced his intention to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race after facing a credible sexual assault allegation, which led to calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down, severely impacting his campaign viability.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Jul 26 2026
Maine Democratic delegates confirm Troy Jackson as nominee to face Susan Collins
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
Following the convention, Maine Democratic delegates reaffirmed their support for Troy Jackson as the nominee, setting up a high-profile general election against incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially nominated as Maine Democratic Senate candidate at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party nominating convention, Troy Jackson was officially selected as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially selected as Maine Democratic Senate nominee at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party's nominating convention, Troy Jackson won a near-unanimous vote to replace Graham Platner as the Senate nominee, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially chosen as Maine Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At a special nominating convention, Maine Democrats overwhelmingly selected Troy Jackson as their new Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner, setting him up to challenge incumbent Republican Susan Collins in the November election.
Jul 25 2026
Maine Democratic Party holds nominating convention, selects Troy Jackson as Senate nominee
Troy Jackson jumps to 100%9%
At a state party convention in Bangor, Maine, 601 delegates voted overwhelmingly to select Troy Jackson as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner for the U.S. Senate race.
Jul 21 2026
Troy Jackson consolidates support as frontrunner for Maine Democratic Senate nomination
Troy Jackson jumps to 91%12%
Troy Jackson emerged as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination after other major candidates dropped out and he secured commitments from a large majority of delegates ahead of the convention.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson emerges as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee as opponents drop out
Troy Jackson jumps to 86%7%
Troy Jackson gained overwhelming support among delegates and saw major opponents like Shenna Bellows and Jordan Wood drop out, consolidating his position as the frontrunner to replace Platner.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson gains momentum as top Maine Senate Democratic candidate after opponents drop out
Troy Jackson surges to 70%25%
Several major Democratic candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, consolidating support behind him and boosting his chances to become the nominee.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson effectively secures Maine Democratic Senate nomination with delegate support
Troy Jackson surges to 91%21%
Troy Jackson's preferred delegates won a majority of seats at county nominating meetings, effectively securing his nomination ahead of the official convention, which increased market confidence in his nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders drop out, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson surges to 79%43%
Several top candidates, including Nirav Shah and Jordan Wood, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, who emerged as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders withdraw, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson jumps to 89%10%
Several top candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns, leaving Troy Jackson as the clear frontrunner with overwhelming delegate support ahead of the nominating convention. This caused Jackson's market price to surge.
Jul 18 2026
Maine counties hold delegate nominating meetings for Senate replacement convention
Yes rises to 78%3%
All 16 Maine counties conducted delegate nominating meetings to select 500 delegates who would participate in the July 25 convention to choose the new Democratic Senate nominee.
Jul 15 2026
Field of candidates emerges to replace Graham Platner as Maine Democratic Senate nominee
Following Platner's withdrawal, multiple Democrats filed to run as replacement candidates, initiating a competitive race for the party's nomination ahead of the July 27 deadline.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party finalizes process to select replacement nominee for Graham Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
Following Platner's withdrawal, the Maine Democratic Party announced a special nominating convention to be held on July 25, where delegates from all counties would vote to select the new Senate nominee.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party sets plan for nominating convention to replace Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
The Maine Democratic Party announced a plan to hold a nominating convention to select a new Senate nominee by July 27, following Platner's withdrawal. This announcement set the stage for a competitive replacement process.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally files paperwork to withdraw from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner officially submitted his withdrawal paperwork to the Maine Secretary of State, confirming his exit from the race and triggering the process for the Maine Democratic Party to select a replacement nominee by July 27.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally withdraws from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner submitted official paperwork to withdraw from the Senate race, confirming his exit and enabling the Maine Democratic Party to begin the process of selecting a replacement nominee. This formal withdrawal solidified the market's shift away from Platner.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner withdraws from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegations
Graham Platner dips to 0%4%
Graham Platner, the Democratic primary winner, ended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denied. This triggered the Maine Democratic Party's process to select a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to collapse to zero.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner suspends Maine Senate campaign amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced he was suspending his campaign after a woman accused him of sexual assault, which he denied. This announcement initiated the process for the Maine Democratic Party to find a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to plummet.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner announces plan to withdraw from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced his intention to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race after facing a credible sexual assault allegation, which led to calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down, severely impacting his campaign viability.
« Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 15 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Troy Jackson » à 100%, suivi de « Graham Platner » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.
À ce jour, « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? » a généré $904.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 6, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.
Pour trader sur « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? », parcourez les 15 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.
Le favori actuel pour « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? » est « Troy Jackson » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Graham Platner » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.
Les règles de résolution de « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.
Oui. Vous n'avez pas besoin de trader pour rester informé. Cette page sert de suivi en direct pour « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? ». Les probabilités des résultats sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que de nouvelles transactions arrivent. Vous pouvez ajouter cette page à vos favoris et consulter la section commentaires pour voir ce que disent les autres traders. Vous pouvez également utiliser les filtres de plage temporelle sur le graphique pour voir comment les cotes ont évolué au fil du temps.
Les cotes de Polymarket sont fixées par de vrais traders qui mettent de l'argent réel derrière leurs convictions, ce qui tend à produire des prédictions précises. Avec $904.3K échangés sur « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? », ces prix agrègent les connaissances collectives et la conviction de milliers de participants — surpassant souvent les sondages, les prévisions d’experts et les enquêtes traditionnelles. Les marchés de prédiction comme Polymarket ont un solide historique de précision, surtout à mesure que les événements approchent de leur date de résolution. Par exemple, Polymarket a un score de précision sur un mois de 94%. Pour les dernières statistiques sur la précision des prédictions de Polymarket, visitez la page de précision sur Polymarket.
Pour placer votre première transaction sur « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? », inscrivez-vous pour un compte Polymarket gratuit et approvisionnez-le en utilisant des cryptomonnaies, une carte de crédit ou débit, ou un virement bancaire. Une fois votre compte approvisionné, revenez sur cette page, sélectionnez le résultat sur lequel vous souhaitez trader, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous êtes nouveau dans les marchés de prédiction, cliquez sur le lien « Comment ça marche » en haut de n'importe quelle page Polymarket pour un guide étape par étape.
Sur Polymarket, le prix de chaque résultat représente la probabilité implicite du marché. Un prix de 100¢ pour « Troy Jackson » sur le marché « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? » signifie que les traders estiment collectivement qu'il y a environ une probabilité de 100% que « Troy Jackson » sera le résultat correct. Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » à 100¢ et que le résultat est correct, vous recevez $1,00 par part — un gain de 0¢ par part. S'il est incorrect, ces parts valent $0.
Le marché « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? » a été résolu. Le résultat final a été déterminé et le marché n'est plus ouvert au trading. Vous pouvez toujours consulter les cotes historiques, les probabilités des résultats et les commentaires sur cette page.
Le marché « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? » a une discussion croissante de 4 commentaires où les traders partagent leurs analyses, débattent des résultats et discutent des derniers développements. Faites défiler jusqu'à la section commentaires ci-dessous pour lire ce que pensent les autres participants. Vous pouvez également filtrer par « Principaux détenteurs » ou consulter l'onglet « Activité » pour un flux en temps réel des transactions.
Polymarket est le plus grand marché de prédiction au monde, où vous pouvez rester informé et profiter de vos connaissances sur les événements du monde réel. Les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur des résultats allant de la politique et des élections aux cryptomonnaies, finances, sports, technologie et culture, y compris des marchés comme « Candidat démocrate au Sénat du Maine le 27 juillet ? ». Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel soutenues par une conviction financière, fournissant souvent des signaux plus rapides et plus précis que les sondages, les commentateurs ou les enquêtes traditionnelles.
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