Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98.3% implied probability against a Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026, anchored by the complete absence of S-1 filings, roadshow announcements, or banker hires from the Blackstone-owned mobile app marketing platform. Recent ad tech headwinds—Apple's App Tracking Transparency framework eroding attribution accuracy, Google's delayed Privacy Sandbox rollout, and softening mobile ad spend amid economic caution—further dampen prospects for a near-term public debut. This positioning echoes delays in peer exits like AppsFlyer. Challenges could emerge from Blackstone's portfolio optimization post-Q4 earnings or a broader IPO market thaw, but no such catalysts are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLiftoff Mobile IPO Closing Market Cap
Liftoff Mobile IPO Closing Market Cap
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant avril 2026 98.4%
4,50 Md$–4,75 Md$ 1.9%
4,25 Md$–4,50 Md$ 1.6%
5,50 Mds $+ <1%
$95,273 Vol.
$95,273 Vol.
<4,25 Md$
<1%
4,25 Md$–4,50 Md$
2%
4,50 Md$–4,75 Md$
2%
4,75 Md$–5,00 Md$
1%
5,00 Md$–5,25 Md$
<1%
5,25 Mds$–5,50 Mds$
1%
5,50 Mds $+
1%
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant avril 2026
98%
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant avril 2026 98.4%
4,50 Md$–4,75 Md$ 1.9%
4,25 Md$–4,50 Md$ 1.6%
5,50 Mds $+ <1%
$95,273 Vol.
$95,273 Vol.
<4,25 Md$
<1%
4,25 Md$–4,50 Md$
2%
4,50 Md$–4,75 Md$
2%
4,75 Md$–5,00 Md$
1%
5,00 Md$–5,25 Md$
<1%
5,25 Mds$–5,50 Mds$
1%
5,50 Mds $+
1%
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant avril 2026
98%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 6, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 5, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98.3% implied probability against a Liftoff Mobile IPO before April 2026, anchored by the complete absence of S-1 filings, roadshow announcements, or banker hires from the Blackstone-owned mobile app marketing platform. Recent ad tech headwinds—Apple's App Tracking Transparency framework eroding attribution accuracy, Google's delayed Privacy Sandbox rollout, and softening mobile ad spend amid economic caution—further dampen prospects for a near-term public debut. This positioning echoes delays in peer exits like AppsFlyer. Challenges could emerge from Blackstone's portfolio optimization post-Q4 earnings or a broader IPO market thaw, but no such catalysts are confirmed.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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