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Monde·Israël

Le parlement israélien dissous par... ?

Market icon
Monde·Israël

Le parlement israélien dissous par... ?

$848,527 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$848,527 Vol.

Polymarket

31 mars

$655,107 Vol.

<1%

30 juin

$110,111 Vol.

22%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, which narrowly passed the 2025 budget in late November 2024 after ultra-Orthodox parties joined to avert collapse amid disputes over military draft exemptions for haredim. Tensions persist with far-right allies like Otzma Yehudit threatening exit over Gaza post-war governance plans, but no dissolution bill has advanced since a failed ultra-Orthodox initiative in June. Opposition parties, led by Yesh Atid and National Unity, hold 52 seats versus the coalition's 68, insufficient for a no-confidence vote without defections. Traders eye upcoming Knesset sessions on judicial reforms and war policies, with snap elections possible if coalition fractures before the term ends in October 2026.

Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, which narrowly passed the 2025 budget in late November 2024 after ultra-Orthodox parties joined to avert collapse amid disputes over military draft exemptions for haredim. Tensions persist with far-right allies like Otzma Yehudit threatening exit over Gaza post-war governance plans, but no dissolution bill has advanced since a failed ultra-Orthodox initiative in June. Opposition parties, led by Yesh Atid and National Unity, hold 52 seats versus the coalition's 68, insufficient for a no-confidence vote without defections. Traders eye upcoming Knesset sessions on judicial reforms and war policies, with snap elections possible if coalition fractures before the term ends in October 2026.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between January 27 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, which narrowly passed the 2025 budget in late November 2024 after ultra-Orthodox parties joined to avert collapse amid disputes over military draft exemptions for haredim. Tensions persist with far-right allies like Otzma Yehudit threatening exit over Gaza post-war governance plans, but no dissolution bill has advanced since a failed ultra-Orthodox initiative in June. Opposition parties, led by Yesh Atid and National Unity, hold 52 seats versus the coalition's 68, insufficient for a no-confidence vote without defections. Traders eye upcoming Knesset sessions on judicial reforms and war policies, with snap elections possible if coalition fractures before the term ends in October 2026.

Israel's Knesset remains intact under Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition, which narrowly passed the 2025 budget in late November 2024 after ultra-Orthodox parties joined to avert collapse amid disputes over military draft exemptions for haredim. Tensions persist with far-right allies like Otzma Yehudit threatening exit over Gaza post-war governance plans, but no dissolution bill has advanced since a failed ultra-Orthodox initiative in June. Opposition parties, led by Yesh Atid and National Unity, hold 52 seats versus the coalition's 68, insufficient for a no-confidence vote without defections. Traders eye upcoming Knesset sessions on judicial reforms and war policies, with snap elections possible if coalition fractures before the term ends in October 2026.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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« Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 4 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin » à 22%, suivi de « 31 mars » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 22¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 22% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » a généré $848.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Sep 3, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? », parcourez les 4 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » est « 30 juin » à 22%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 22% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 mars » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Le parlement israélien dissous par... ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.