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Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

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Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,886,668 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,886,668 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count.

Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,886,668
Date de fin
Sep 30, 2024
Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2024, 12:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count. Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Contesté

Résultat proposé: Yes

Contesté

Résultat final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count.

Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,886,668
Date de fin
Sep 30, 2024
Marché ouvert
Sep 19, 2024, 12:50 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter Lebanese territory for combat operations between September 18 and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only ground operations involving troops on Lebanese soil will count. Territory under Israeli control as of the creation of this market including the Golan Heights and Shebaa Farms area will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by Hezbollah and Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Contesté

Résultat proposé: Yes

Contesté

Résultat final: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" has generated $10.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 19, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.