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Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory

Market icon

Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory

>30 100.0%

<15 <1%

15–18 <1%

18–21 <1%

Polymarket

$115,194 Vol.

>30 100.0%

<15 <1%

15–18 <1%

18–21 <1%

Polymarket

$115,194 Vol.

<15

$47,801 Vol.

No

15–18

$10,004 Vol.

No

18–21

$8,090 Vol.

No

21–24

$5,407 Vol.

No

24–27

$12,609 Vol.

No

27–30

$12,742 Vol.

No

>30

$18,541 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory for Catherine Connolly in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election, scheduled to take place on October 24, 2025.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If Catherine Connolly does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Electoral Commission of Ireland (electoralcommission.ie).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$115,194
Date de fin
Oct 24, 2025
Marché ouvert
Oct 23, 2025, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory for Catherine Connolly in the 2025 Irish Presidential Election, scheduled to take place on October 24, 2025. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If Catherine Connolly does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending). This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Electoral Commission of Ireland (electoralcommission.ie). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">30" at 100%, followed by "<15" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory " has generated $115.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory ," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory " is ">30" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<15" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Irish Presidential Election: Catherine Connolly Margin of Victory " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.