Market icon

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,122,140 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 15, and June 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 15 and June 30, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.

A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.

This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.

Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.

Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.
Volume
$1,122,140
Date de fin
Jun 30, 2025
Créé le
Jun 15, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 15, and June 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 15 and June 30, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Market icon

Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$1,122,140 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 15, and June 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 15 and June 30, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed.

A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting.

This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions.

Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count.

Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.
Volume
$1,122,140
Date de fin
Jun 30, 2025
Créé le
Jun 15, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a continuous 14-day period without any qualifying military action between Iran and Israel that begins at any time between June 15, and June 30, 2025, inclusive. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 14-day period may begin at any time between June 15 and June 30, 2025 ET (inclusive), and must continue uninterrupted through 12:00 PM ET on the 14th calendar day after the strike is confirmed. A "military action" is defined as any use of force by Iran or Israel against the other’s soil, airspace, maritime territory, or official Israeli embassies or consulates, that is either officially acknowledged by the acting government or confirmed through a clear consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, and ground incursions. Cyberattacks, sanctions, and diplomatic actions do not count. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory will qualify as Iranian military actions. Attacks on Israel by proxy forces (i.e. Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.