Latest forecasts from AccuWeather and China weather services project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1 at 24-25°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus pricing 24°C at a 64% implied probability. This positioning reflects springtime atmospheric patterns favoring above-normal daytime heating, exceeding the early-April climatological average of 20-22°C based on long-term observational data from the China Meteorological Administration. Overnight model updates, including ensemble runs with 1-2°C spreads, confirmed persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover following clear conditions on March 31, shifting odds away from 23°C. Uncertainty remains from potential afternoon haze or wind shifts; official station measurements will resolve the market by day's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
24°C 70%
25°C 22%
26°C 3.2%
28°C or higher <1%
$62,449 Vol.
$62,449 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
70%
25°C
22%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 70%
25°C 22%
26°C 3.2%
28°C or higher <1%
$62,449 Vol.
$62,449 Vol.
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
70%
25°C
22%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from AccuWeather and China weather services project Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1 at 24-25°C under mostly sunny skies and light southerly winds, aligning with trader consensus pricing 24°C at a 64% implied probability. This positioning reflects springtime atmospheric patterns favoring above-normal daytime heating, exceeding the early-April climatological average of 20-22°C based on long-term observational data from the China Meteorological Administration. Overnight model updates, including ensemble runs with 1-2°C spreads, confirmed persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover following clear conditions on March 31, shifting odds away from 23°C. Uncertainty remains from potential afternoon haze or wind shifts; official station measurements will resolve the market by day's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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