Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1, with 83% implied probability, reflecting the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather (25°C high), BBC Weather (23°C), and World Weather Information Service (23°C under sunny skies). Clear conditions and light northerly winds, driven by a high-pressure ridge over central China, are enabling above-average solar heating amid early spring warming—historical April 1 highs average 20–22°C but current patterns support peaks near 24°C by afternoon. Model agreement has tightened in the past 24 hours, boosting confidence, though minor uncertainties in cloud cover or urban heat effects could shift outcomes by 1°C. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market by day's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
24°C 94%
25°C 7%
26°C 1.1%
27°C <1%
$68,340 Vol.
$68,340 Vol.
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
89%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 94%
25°C 7%
26°C 1.1%
27°C <1%
$68,340 Vol.
$68,340 Vol.
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
89%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 24°C as Wuhan's highest temperature on April 1, with 83% implied probability, reflecting the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather (25°C high), BBC Weather (23°C), and World Weather Information Service (23°C under sunny skies). Clear conditions and light northerly winds, driven by a high-pressure ridge over central China, are enabling above-average solar heating amid early spring warming—historical April 1 highs average 20–22°C but current patterns support peaks near 24°C by afternoon. Model agreement has tightened in the past 24 hours, boosting confidence, though minor uncertainties in cloud cover or urban heat effects could shift outcomes by 1°C. Official China Meteorological Administration observations will resolve the market by day's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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