Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate a high temperature of 27°C (around 81°F) for Shenzhen on April 1, aligning with trader sentiment pricing an 88% implied probability on that outcome amid intervals of clouds and sunshine with reduced humidity. Midday observations near 26°C support this trajectory, reflecting the city's humid subtropical climate where early April highs typically average 26-27°C, influenced by warming spring air masses and moderate northwest winds. Model consensus shows minimal divergence, though sea breezes or increased cloudiness could nudge toward 28°C; official station data expected by evening will confirm the peak, resolving market uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 1?
27°C 79.5%
28°C 15.3%
29°C 1.2%
30°C <1%
$181,291 Vol.
$181,291 Vol.
23°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
80%
28°C
15%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 79.5%
28°C 15.3%
29°C 1.2%
30°C <1%
$181,291 Vol.
$181,291 Vol.
23°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
80%
28°C
15%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:21 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate a high temperature of 27°C (around 81°F) for Shenzhen on April 1, aligning with trader sentiment pricing an 88% implied probability on that outcome amid intervals of clouds and sunshine with reduced humidity. Midday observations near 26°C support this trajectory, reflecting the city's humid subtropical climate where early April highs typically average 26-27°C, influenced by warming spring air masses and moderate northwest winds. Model consensus shows minimal divergence, though sea breezes or increased cloudiness could nudge toward 28°C; official station data expected by evening will confirm the peak, resolving market uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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