Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in Panama City's highest temperature on April 3, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% across outcomes from 27°C or below to 37°C or higher, capturing the wide spread in short-term forecast models. National Weather Service guidance points to sunny skies and south winds at 10-15 mph driving a high near 76°F (24°C), moderated by Gulf sea breeze effects that typically cap coastal highs in early April, when historical averages hover around 75°F (24°C). Recent warming from March 30's 82°F (28°C) peak amid dry air contrasts cooler late-March readings near 60°F (16°C), heightening variability; key differentiators include sea breeze onset timing, afternoon cloud development, and upper-level ridging strength. New hourly NOAA updates expected throughout the day could sharpen resolution as observations accumulate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Panama City on April 3?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 3?
28°C 26%
34°C 26%
37°C or higher 26%
27°C or below 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 avr. 2026
27°C or below
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C or higher
26%
28°C 26%
34°C 26%
37°C or higher 26%
27°C or below 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 avr. 2026
27°C or below
$10 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
26%
34°C
$0 Vol.
26%
35°C
$0 Vol.
26%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C or higher
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in Panama City's highest temperature on April 3, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% across outcomes from 27°C or below to 37°C or higher, capturing the wide spread in short-term forecast models. National Weather Service guidance points to sunny skies and south winds at 10-15 mph driving a high near 76°F (24°C), moderated by Gulf sea breeze effects that typically cap coastal highs in early April, when historical averages hover around 75°F (24°C). Recent warming from March 30's 82°F (28°C) peak amid dry air contrasts cooler late-March readings near 60°F (16°C), heightening variability; key differentiators include sea breeze onset timing, afternoon cloud development, and upper-level ridging strength. New hourly NOAA updates expected throughout the day could sharpen resolution as observations accumulate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Volume
$10Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in Panama City's highest temperature on April 3, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% across outcomes from 27°C or below to 37°C or higher, capturing the wide spread in short-term forecast models. National Weather Service guidance points to sunny skies and south winds at 10-15 mph driving a high near 76°F (24°C), moderated by Gulf sea breeze effects that typically cap coastal highs in early April, when historical averages hover around 75°F (24°C). Recent warming from March 30's 82°F (28°C) peak amid dry air contrasts cooler late-March readings near 60°F (16°C), heightening variability; key differentiators include sea breeze onset timing, afternoon cloud development, and upper-level ridging strength. New hourly NOAA updates expected throughout the day could sharpen resolution as observations accumulate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10Date de fin
3 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty in Panama City's highest temperature on April 3, with market-implied odds evenly split at 50% across outcomes from 27°C or below to 37°C or higher, capturing the wide spread in short-term forecast models. National Weather Service guidance points to sunny skies and south winds at 10-15 mph driving a high near 76°F (24°C), moderated by Gulf sea breeze effects that typically cap coastal highs in early April, when historical averages hover around 75°F (24°C). Recent warming from March 30's 82°F (28°C) peak amid dry air contrasts cooler late-March readings near 60°F (16°C), heightening variability; key differentiators include sea breeze onset timing, afternoon cloud development, and upper-level ridging strength. New hourly NOAA updates expected throughout the day could sharpen resolution as observations accumulate.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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