The National Weather Service's latest forecast, updated late March 31, pins Miami's April 1 high temperature near 78-79°F under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with east winds of 14 mph gusting to 20 mph moderating daytime heating by advecting cooler Atlantic air onshore. This setup aligns with trader consensus, where market-implied odds favor 80-81°F at 49.5% and 78-79°F at 32.5%, reflecting GFS and ECMWF model runs showing mostly sunny skies but limited solar insolation from gusty flow. Below the 82°F climatological normal, recent observations at Miami International Airport—74°F midday March 31 with few clouds—support tempered peaks, though reduced winds or inland progression of the sea breeze could nudge toward 80-81°F. Hourly NWS updates will refine probabilities as peak heating approaches mid-afternoon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on April 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
80-81 °F 50%
78-79°F 33%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 6.7%
$131,696 Vol.
$131,696 Vol.
1 avr. 2026
73°F ou moins
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
33%
80-81 °F
50%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81 °F 50%
78-79°F 33%
82-83°F 12%
76-77°F 6.7%
$131,696 Vol.
$131,696 Vol.
1 avr. 2026
73°F ou moins
$25,436 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$10,329 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$15,187 Vol.
7%
78-79°F
$9,314 Vol.
33%
80-81 °F
$9,511 Vol.
50%
82-83°F
$10,857 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$8,934 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$6,339 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$7,031 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$8,174 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$20,754 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast, updated late March 31, pins Miami's April 1 high temperature near 78-79°F under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with east winds of 14 mph gusting to 20 mph moderating daytime heating by advecting cooler Atlantic air onshore. This setup aligns with trader consensus, where market-implied odds favor 80-81°F at 49.5% and 78-79°F at 32.5%, reflecting GFS and ECMWF model runs showing mostly sunny skies but limited solar insolation from gusty flow. Below the 82°F climatological normal, recent observations at Miami International Airport—74°F midday March 31 with few clouds—support tempered peaks, though reduced winds or inland progression of the sea breeze could nudge toward 80-81°F. Hourly NWS updates will refine probabilities as peak heating approaches mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Volume
$131,696Date de fin
1 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast, updated late March 31, pins Miami's April 1 high temperature near 78-79°F under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with east winds of 14 mph gusting to 20 mph moderating daytime heating by advecting cooler Atlantic air onshore. This setup aligns with trader consensus, where market-implied odds favor 80-81°F at 49.5% and 78-79°F at 32.5%, reflecting GFS and ECMWF model runs showing mostly sunny skies but limited solar insolation from gusty flow. Below the 82°F climatological normal, recent observations at Miami International Airport—74°F midday March 31 with few clouds—support tempered peaks, though reduced winds or inland progression of the sea breeze could nudge toward 80-81°F. Hourly NWS updates will refine probabilities as peak heating approaches mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$131,696Date de fin
1 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service's latest forecast, updated late March 31, pins Miami's April 1 high temperature near 78-79°F under a persistent ridge of high pressure, with east winds of 14 mph gusting to 20 mph moderating daytime heating by advecting cooler Atlantic air onshore. This setup aligns with trader consensus, where market-implied odds favor 80-81°F at 49.5% and 78-79°F at 32.5%, reflecting GFS and ECMWF model runs showing mostly sunny skies but limited solar insolation from gusty flow. Below the 82°F climatological normal, recent observations at Miami International Airport—74°F midday March 31 with few clouds—support tempered peaks, though reduced winds or inland progression of the sea breeze could nudge toward 80-81°F. Hourly NWS updates will refine probabilities as peak heating approaches mid-afternoon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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