The latest Met Office forecast for London on April 1 pegs the daytime high at 15°C, peaking around 2-5pm amid partly cloudy skies early, transitioning to overcast conditions with light rain chances from a weakening southeast-moving front and light northwest winds ushering cooler air masses. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster of 13-15°C maxima, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (28.5%), reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover limiting solar heating against an early April climatological baseline of 12-13°C. Following milder late-March highs near 19°C, this unsettled pattern has compressed odds for extremes; real-time observations at sites like Heathrow will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on April 1?
Highest temperature in London on April 1?
14°C 57%
15°C 29%
13°C 5%
16°C 4.1%
$152,495 Vol.
$152,495 Vol.
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
57%
15°C
29%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
14°C 57%
15°C 29%
13°C 5%
16°C 4.1%
$152,495 Vol.
$152,495 Vol.
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
57%
15°C
29%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 3:40 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest Met Office forecast for London on April 1 pegs the daytime high at 15°C, peaking around 2-5pm amid partly cloudy skies early, transitioning to overcast conditions with light rain chances from a weakening southeast-moving front and light northwest winds ushering cooler air masses. Ensemble models from ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster of 13-15°C maxima, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 15°C (28.5%), reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover limiting solar heating against an early April climatological baseline of 12-13°C. Following milder late-March highs near 19°C, this unsettled pattern has compressed odds for extremes; real-time observations at sites like Heathrow will sharpen resolution as the day unfolds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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