Market icon

Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?

Market icon

Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?

17 février 100.0%

Publié avant le 15 février <1%

15 février <1%

16 février <1%

Polymarket

$662,720 Vol.

17 février 100.0%

Publié avant le 15 février <1%

15 février <1%

16 février <1%

Polymarket

$662,720 Vol.

Publié avant le 15 février

$2,977 Vol.

Non

15 février

$17,397 Vol.

Non

16 février

$26,736 Vol.

Non

17 février

$339,317 Vol.

Oui

18 février

$15,487 Vol.

Non

19 février

$17,720 Vol.

Non

20 février

$14,583 Vol.

Non

21 février

$14,129 Vol.

Non

22 février

$13,241 Vol.

Non

23 février

$17,374 Vol.

Non

24 février

$16,247 Vol.

Non

25 février

$18,194 Vol.

Non

26 février

$20,379 Vol.

Non

27 février

$18,113 Vol.

Non

28 février

$10,062 Vol.

Non

1er mars

$12,480 Vol.

Non

2 mars

$5,631 Vol.

Non

3 mars

$3,468 Vol.

Non

4 mars

$3,391 Vol.

Non

5 mars

$3,883 Vol.

Non

6 mars

$2,247 Vol.

Non

7 mars

$3,054 Vol.

Non

8 mars

$3,505 Vol.

Non

9 mars

$3,902 Vol.

Non

10 mars

$3,203 Vol.

Non

11 mars

$1,641 Vol.

Non

12 mars

$4,654 Vol.

Non

13 mars

$1,255 Vol.

Non

14 mars

$2,200 Vol.

Non

15 mars

$3,032 Vol.

Non

16 mars

$1,015 Vol.

Non

17 mars

$3,878 Vol.

Non

18 mars

$2,291 Vol.

Non

19 mars

$1,515 Vol.

Non

20 mars

$2,805 Vol.

Non

21 mars

$1,761 Vol.

Non

22 mars

$2,557 Vol.

Non

23 mars

$3,561 Vol.

Non

24 mars

$1,860 Vol.

Non

25 mars

$2,042 Vol.

Non

26 mars

$1,807 Vol.

Non

27 mars

$2,304 Vol.

Non

28 mars

$1,224 Vol.

Non

29 mars

$2,135 Vol.

Non

30 mars

$2,111 Vol.

Non

31 mars

$2,294 Vol.

Non

Aucune sortie d'ici le 31 mars

$8,062 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$662,720
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 9, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 47+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17 février" at 100%, followed by "Publié avant le 15 février" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?" has generated $662.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?," browse the 47+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?" is "17 février" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Publié avant le 15 février" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grok 4.20 sorti le... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.