Polymarket traders are pricing a 62% implied probability for Alphabet (GOOGL) to close above $180 by March 29, reflecting cautious optimism amid recent AI-driven gains and cloud revenue beats in Q4 earnings, where revenue hit $86.3 billion versus $85.4 billion expected. Current spot price hovers near $178, up 8% YTD, buoyed by Gemini model advancements but pressured by ongoing DOJ antitrust scrutiny over search dominance. Key risks include March 20 FOMC rate decision potentially lifting tech if dovish, versus elevated capex forecasts ($12B quarterly) weighing on margins. Resolution hinges on last trading day volatility, with historical EOM bounces averaging 1.2% for GOOGL.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$80,272 Vol.
250 $
99%
260 $
95%
270 $
86%
280 $
93%
290 $
82%
300 $
61%
310 $
38%
320 $
17%
330 $
6%
340 $
10%
350 $
1%
360 $
1%
370 $
1%
$80,272 Vol.
250 $
99%
260 $
95%
270 $
86%
280 $
93%
290 $
82%
300 $
61%
310 $
38%
320 $
17%
330 $
6%
340 $
10%
350 $
1%
360 $
1%
370 $
1%
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Feb 27, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are pricing a 62% implied probability for Alphabet (GOOGL) to close above $180 by March 29, reflecting cautious optimism amid recent AI-driven gains and cloud revenue beats in Q4 earnings, where revenue hit $86.3 billion versus $85.4 billion expected. Current spot price hovers near $178, up 8% YTD, buoyed by Gemini model advancements but pressured by ongoing DOJ antitrust scrutiny over search dominance. Key risks include March 20 FOMC rate decision potentially lifting tech if dovish, versus elevated capex forecasts ($12B quarterly) weighing on margins. Resolution hinges on last trading day volatility, with historical EOM bounces averaging 1.2% for GOOGL.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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