Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Democratic victory in the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial race at 59.5% implied probability, driven by a more consolidated Democratic primary field where former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms leads recent Emerson (early March) and JMC Analytics (March 9) polls at 35-40% amid 38% undecided voters, contrasted with a fragmented Republican primary averaging Rick Jackson at 26% and Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 20% per 270toWin, with no candidate above 37% and high undecided rates near 40%. Qualifying ended March 6 with 15 candidates, but GOP infighting—including lawsuits between Jackson and Jones—has weakened frontrunners, while Senate polls show incumbent Jon Ossoff leading GOP challengers by 3-8 points. Primaries on May 19 could clarify nominees, with Georgia's battleground status and 2024 trends amplifying Democratic momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Géorgie
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Géorgie
$30,174 Vol.
$30,174 Vol.

Démocrate
61%

Républicain
40%
$30,174 Vol.
$30,174 Vol.

Démocrate
61%

Républicain
40%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Democratic victory in the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial race at 59.5% implied probability, driven by a more consolidated Democratic primary field where former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms leads recent Emerson (early March) and JMC Analytics (March 9) polls at 35-40% amid 38% undecided voters, contrasted with a fragmented Republican primary averaging Rick Jackson at 26% and Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 20% per 270toWin, with no candidate above 37% and high undecided rates near 40%. Qualifying ended March 6 with 15 candidates, but GOP infighting—including lawsuits between Jackson and Jones—has weakened frontrunners, while Senate polls show incumbent Jon Ossoff leading GOP challengers by 3-8 points. Primaries on May 19 could clarify nominees, with Georgia's battleground status and 2024 trends amplifying Democratic momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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