Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability that Amazon (AMZN) shares will close the week of March 16, 2025, above [threshold price], driven primarily by the FOMC meeting on March 18-19 where markets price in a 75% chance of steady rates amid cooling inflation data from the prior week's CPI (2.8% YoY) and PPI prints. AMZN, trading near $182 after a 2% weekly gain fueled by robust AWS cloud revenue growth (17% YoY in Q4), faces headwinds from softening consumer spending signals in retail sales data due February 18. Key thresholds: sustained above $185 support could propel toward $190 resistance; a hawkish Fed dot plot risks a pullback. Watch March 14 jobless claims for retail sector clues, with implied volatility elevated at 25%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$2,281 Vol.
185 $
Oui
$190
Yes
$195
Yes
200 $
Oui
205 $
Oui
$210
No
215 $
Non
$220
No
225 $
Non
$230
No
$235
No
$240
No
$245
No
$2,281 Vol.
185 $
Oui
$190
Yes
$195
Yes
200 $
Oui
205 $
Oui
$210
No
215 $
Non
$220
No
225 $
Non
$230
No
$235
No
$240
No
$245
No
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability that Amazon (AMZN) shares will close the week of March 16, 2025, above [threshold price], driven primarily by the FOMC meeting on March 18-19 where markets price in a 75% chance of steady rates amid cooling inflation data from the prior week's CPI (2.8% YoY) and PPI prints. AMZN, trading near $182 after a 2% weekly gain fueled by robust AWS cloud revenue growth (17% YoY in Q4), faces headwinds from softening consumer spending signals in retail sales data due February 18. Key thresholds: sustained above $185 support could propel toward $190 resistance; a hawkish Fed dot plot risks a pullback. Watch March 14 jobless claims for retail sector clues, with implied volatility elevated at 25%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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