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1er, 2, 3 décembre 2025 les plus chauds jamais enregistrés ?

Market icon

1er, 2, 3 décembre 2025 les plus chauds jamais enregistrés ?

4e ou moins 100.0%

Le plus chaud <1%

2e plus chaud <1%

3e plus chaud <1%

Polymarket

$325,292 Vol.

4e ou moins 100.0%

Le plus chaud <1%

2e plus chaud <1%

3e plus chaud <1%

Polymarket

$325,292 Vol.

Le plus chaud

$39,390 Vol.

Non

2e plus chaud

$65,349 Vol.

Non

3e plus chaud

$101,904 Vol.

Non

4e ou moins

$118,649 Vol.

Oui

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 versus the data points available for all other Decembers on record.

Note: If December 2025 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$325,292
Date de fin
Jan 10, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 10, 2025, 6:18 PM ET
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 versus the data points available for all other Decembers on record. Note: If December 2025 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"1er, 2, 3 décembre 2025 les plus chauds jamais enregistrés ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4e ou moins" at 100%, followed by "Le plus chaud" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "1er, 2, 3 décembre 2025 les plus chauds jamais enregistrés ?" has generated $325.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "1er, 2, 3 décembre 2025 les plus chauds jamais enregistrés ?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "1er, 2, 3 décembre 2025 les plus chauds jamais enregistrés ?" is "4e ou moins" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Le plus chaud" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "1er, 2, 3 décembre 2025 les plus chauds jamais enregistrés ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.