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Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start

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Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start

Oceane Michelon (FRA) 100.0%

Suvi Minkkinen (FIN) <1%

Amy Baserga (SUI) <1%

Maya Cloetens (BEL) <1%

Polymarket

$45,904 Vol.

Oceane Michelon (FRA) 100.0%

Suvi Minkkinen (FIN) <1%

Amy Baserga (SUI) <1%

Maya Cloetens (BEL) <1%

Polymarket

$45,904 Vol.

Suvi Minkkinen (FIN)

$2,469 Vol.

No

Amy Baserga (SUI)

$1,587 Vol.

No

Maya Cloetens (BEL)

$1,132 Vol.

No

Karoline Knotten (NOR)

$575 Vol.

No

Elvira Oeberg (SWE)

$1,583 Vol.

No

Hanna Oeberg (SWE)

$2,014 Vol.

No

Rebecca Passler (ITA)

$386 Vol.

No

Julia Simon (FRA)

$3,401 Vol.

No

Franziska Preuss (GER)

$905 Vol.

No

Selina Grotian (GER)

$851 Vol.

No

Ingrid Tandrevold (NOR)

$903 Vol.

No

Dorothea Wierer (ITA)

$1,691 Vol.

No

Anna Magnusson (SWE)

$3,382 Vol.

No

Vanessa Voigt (GER)

$2,082 Vol.

No

Tereza Vobornikova (CZE)

$866 Vol.

No

Maren Kirkeeide (NOR)

$903 Vol.

No

Camille Bened (FRA)

$1,285 Vol.

No

Lucie Charvatova (CZE)

$1,482 Vol.

No

Deedra Irwin (USA)

$1,484 Vol.

No

Oceane Michelon (FRA)

$2,600 Vol.

Yes

Polona Klemencic (SLO)

$1,172 Vol.

No

Lou Jeanmonnot (FRA)

$4,735 Vol.

No

Justine Braisaz-Bouchet (FRA)

$763 Vol.

No

Anna Weidel (GER)

$1,013 Vol.

No

Marketa Davidova (CZE)

$2,697 Vol.

No

Lisa Vittozzi (ITA)

$1,575 Vol.

No

Lisa Theresa Hauser (AUT)

$964 Vol.

No

Jeanne Richard (FRA)

$503 Vol.

No

Paulina Batovska-Fialkova (SVK)

$899 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.

If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).
Volume
$45,904
End Date
Feb 23, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 Milano-Cortina Winter Olympics gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start event per the rules of IOC (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group. If this event is postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the International Olympic Committee (https://www.olympics.com/).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oceane Michelon (FRA)" at 100%, followed by "Suvi Minkkinen (FIN)" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start" has generated $45.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start" is "Oceane Michelon (FRA)" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Suvi Minkkinen (FIN)" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Winter Games 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.