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Sports·PGA

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

Market icon
Sports·PGA

Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?

6% chance
Polymarket
NEW

$44,352 Vol.

6% chance
Polymarket
NEW

$44,352 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Tiger Woods' March 27 DUI arrest in Florida—a state misdemeanor involving a rollover crash, property damage, and test refusal—spurred viral but debunked rumors of a Trump pardon, yet traders price No at 95.5% given presidential authority's strict limit to federal offenses only. The 15-time major winner, fresh off injury-plagued PGA Tour campaigns, pleaded not guilty, won court approval for out-of-country inpatient treatment, and eyes a likely plea deal ahead of the Masters. No federal charges, conviction, or clemency request from Woods or the White House exist; bodycam footage noting a call with "the president" changed nothing. Barring improbable federal escalation, odds stay firm through June 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$44,352
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Tiger Woods' March 27 DUI arrest in Florida—a state misdemeanor involving a rollover crash, property damage, and test refusal—spurred viral but debunked rumors of a Trump pardon, yet traders price No at 95.5% given presidential authority's strict limit to federal offenses only. The 15-time major winner, fresh off injury-plagued PGA Tour campaigns, pleaded not guilty, won court approval for out-of-country inpatient treatment, and eyes a likely plea deal ahead of the Masters. No federal charges, conviction, or clemency request from Woods or the White House exist; bodycam footage noting a call with "the president" changed nothing. Barring improbable federal escalation, odds stay firm through June 30.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$44,352
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 10:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tiger Woods receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump to issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 6% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 6¢, the market collectively assigns a 6% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?" has generated $44.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?" is 6% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 6% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.