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Sports·ATP

Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?

Market icon
Sports·ATP

Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?

<1% chance
Polymarket
NEW
<1% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Roger Federer's retirement from professional tennis in September 2022 following multiple knee surgeries remains the dominant factor driving the 99.1% implied probability for "No" on this Wimbledon market, reflecting trader consensus on his unlikelihood of mounting a competitive comeback at age 44. Absent from ATP rankings and official Tour events since Laver Cup, he has limited activity to exhibitions, including a January 2026 Australian Open doubles showcase where he defeated Casper Ruud and a February-announced grass-court match at the Hall of Fame Celebrity Pro Classic ahead of his August induction. Recent visits to Wimbledon as a spectator underscore his ambassadorial role rather than player intent, with no entry list appearance or wild card pursuit amid a grueling grass swing. While an improbable injury-free training block and AELTC wild card could theoretically shift odds, historical precedents for such late unretirements at Grand Slams are nonexistent.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$639
End Date
Jul 13, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Roger Federer's retirement from professional tennis in September 2022 following multiple knee surgeries remains the dominant factor driving the 99.1% implied probability for "No" on this Wimbledon market, reflecting trader consensus on his unlikelihood of mounting a competitive comeback at age 44. Absent from ATP rankings and official Tour events since Laver Cup, he has limited activity to exhibitions, including a January 2026 Australian Open doubles showcase where he defeated Casper Ruud and a February-announced grass-court match at the Hall of Fame Celebrity Pro Classic ahead of his August induction. Recent visits to Wimbledon as a spectator underscore his ambassadorial role rather than player intent, with no entry list appearance or wild card pursuit amid a grueling grass swing. While an improbable injury-free training block and AELTC wild card could theoretically shift odds, historical precedents for such late unretirements at Grand Slams are nonexistent.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$639
End Date
Jul 13, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 10:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Federer takes the court as a player in at least one official match during the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-court appearance as a player during qualifying and main Wimbledon tournament matches will qualify. No practice rounds, exhibitions, or other play of any kind will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 1% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 1¢, the market collectively assigns a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?" is 1% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 1% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.