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Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?

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Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$13,568 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$13,568 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any online sports betting provider licensed in Ohio has its license officially revoked for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying circumstances include the Ohio Casino Control Commission revoking a Type A license and explicitly citing event-contract activity as a basis for disciplinary action under the Ohio Revised Code (ORC) Chapter 3775. A revocation will not qualify if the action is clearly unrelated to event-contract issues. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Ohio State Government and the Ohio Casino Control Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for "No" on Ohio revoking any Ohio Sportsbook (OSB) license over event-contract activity by March 31, driven by the deadline's passage without any such actions from the Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC). A federal judge's March 9 ruling affirmed the state's authority to block sports event contracts from prediction market platforms like Kalshi, prompting cease-and-desist orders to unlicensed operators rather than penalties for OSB holders, who received prior warnings in 2025 but faced no further escalation. This enforcement pattern underscores regulators' focus on non-traditional platforms amid ongoing CFTC-state tensions. With the market now resolved, realistic shifts are improbable absent retroactive evidence of pre-deadline revocations, though appeals or new probes could influence similar future markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any online sports betting provider licensed in Ohio has its license officially revoked for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying circumstances include the Ohio Casino Control Commission revoking a Type A license and explicitly citing event-contract activity as a basis for disciplinary action under the Ohio Revised Code (ORC) Chapter 3775.

A revocation will not qualify if the action is clearly unrelated to event-contract issues.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Ohio State Government and the Ohio Casino Control Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,568
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 20, 2025, 12:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any online sports betting provider licensed in Ohio has its license officially revoked for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying circumstances include the Ohio Casino Control Commission revoking a Type A license and explicitly citing event-contract activity as a basis for disciplinary action under the Ohio Revised Code (ORC) Chapter 3775. A revocation will not qualify if the action is clearly unrelated to event-contract issues. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Ohio State Government and the Ohio Casino Control Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any online sports betting provider licensed in Ohio has its license officially revoked for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying circumstances include the Ohio Casino Control Commission revoking a Type A license and explicitly citing event-contract activity as a basis for disciplinary action under the Ohio Revised Code (ORC) Chapter 3775. A revocation will not qualify if the action is clearly unrelated to event-contract issues. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Ohio State Government and the Ohio Casino Control Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for "No" on Ohio revoking any Ohio Sportsbook (OSB) license over event-contract activity by March 31, driven by the deadline's passage without any such actions from the Ohio Casino Control Commission (OCCC). A federal judge's March 9 ruling affirmed the state's authority to block sports event contracts from prediction market platforms like Kalshi, prompting cease-and-desist orders to unlicensed operators rather than penalties for OSB holders, who received prior warnings in 2025 but faced no further escalation. This enforcement pattern underscores regulators' focus on non-traditional platforms amid ongoing CFTC-state tensions. With the market now resolved, realistic shifts are improbable absent retroactive evidence of pre-deadline revocations, though appeals or new probes could influence similar future markets.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any online sports betting provider licensed in Ohio has its license officially revoked for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying circumstances include the Ohio Casino Control Commission revoking a Type A license and explicitly citing event-contract activity as a basis for disciplinary action under the Ohio Revised Code (ORC) Chapter 3775.

A revocation will not qualify if the action is clearly unrelated to event-contract issues.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Ohio State Government and the Ohio Casino Control Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$13,568
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 20, 2025, 12:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any online sports betting provider licensed in Ohio has its license officially revoked for any period of time by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying circumstances include the Ohio Casino Control Commission revoking a Type A license and explicitly citing event-contract activity as a basis for disciplinary action under the Ohio Revised Code (ORC) Chapter 3775. A revocation will not qualify if the action is clearly unrelated to event-contract issues. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Ohio State Government and the Ohio Casino Control Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?" has generated $13.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Ohio Revoke Any OSB License Over Event-Contract Activity by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.