Market icon

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?

Market icon

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?

$714,167 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$714,167 Vol.

Polymarket

490 Million

$60,264 Vol.

<1%

500 Million

$110,991 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting. MrBeast's subscriber growth on his main YouTube channel decelerated sharply in March 2026, adding just 4 million subscribers over the past 30 days at an average of 133,000 daily—far below 2025's record 117 million annual haul that propelled him past 400 million in June. Hitting 473 million on March 23, he stalled at around 474 million by month's end, hampered by a March 26 video upload yielding modest gains amid his sprawling empire including Beast Gaming (55 million subs) and Amazon's Beast Games show. Trader sentiment hinges on his signature viral challenges and philanthropy stunts for momentum surges, with next video drops and streaming metrics as key catalysts ahead of April benchmarks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$714,167
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting. MrBeast's subscriber growth on his main YouTube channel decelerated sharply in March 2026, adding just 4 million subscribers over the past 30 days at an average of 133,000 daily—far below 2025's record 117 million annual haul that propelled him past 400 million in June. Hitting 473 million on March 23, he stalled at around 474 million by month's end, hampered by a March 26 video upload yielding modest gains amid his sprawling empire including Beast Gaming (55 million subs) and Amazon's Beast Games show. Trader sentiment hinges on his signature viral challenges and philanthropy stunts for momentum surges, with next video drops and streaming metrics as key catalysts ahead of April benchmarks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$714,167
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of subscribers by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "470 Million" at 100%, followed by "472 Million" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?" has generated $714.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?" is "470 Million" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "472 Million" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.