Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
$3,303,194 Vol.
OUTCOMERESULT
October 20
$24,419 Vol.
Yes
October 20
$24,419 Vol.
Yes
October 21
$79,720 Vol.
No
October 21
$79,720 Vol.
No
October 22
$26,345 Vol.
No
October 22
$26,345 Vol.
No
October 23
$3,122,261 Vol.
No
October 23
$3,122,261 Vol.
No
October 24
$50,449 Vol.
No
October 24
$50,449 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Gaza soil on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Gaza ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip counts, including buffer zones.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Gaza territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The primary solution resolution source will be official government/military statements (Israeli or foreign), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
Created At: Oct 19, 2025, 7:09 PM UTC
Volume
$3,303,194Created At
Oct 19, 2025, 7:09 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Final outcome: No
$3,303,194 Vol.
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
October 20
$24,419 Vol.
Yes
October 21
$79,720 Vol.
No
October 22
$26,345 Vol.
No
October 23
$3,122,261 Vol.
No
October 24
$50,449 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$3,303,194Created At
Oct 19, 2025, 7:09 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.