Name: Who will win the USDH ticker?
Start: 2025-09-08T17:52:23.408625Z
End: 2026-01-01T04:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to the winner of Hyperliquid’s USDH on-chain validator vote taking place on September 14.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Hyperliquid.

If the vote is not completed or no winner is declared by December 31 11:59PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other"

Ethena

Paxos

Frax

Native Markets

Agora

Who will win the USDH ticker?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if USD.AI officially launches a governance token by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from USD.AI (https://x.com/USDai_Official), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is Artemis (https://app.artemisanalytics.com/stablecoins), using the “Stablecoin Supply by Currency” chart. The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.

A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.

Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of USD.AI's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If USD.AI (https://usd.ai/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDT marketcap is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for USDT, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?

This market will resolve to “Human” or “AI” based on which team has the higher Team ROI at the end of the Aster Human vs AI trading competition season 2.

The Team ROI values displayed on the official Aster competition page will be used for resolution.

If both teams have the same Team ROI at the time the competition ends, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be the official Aster Human vs AI page:
https://www.asterdex.com/en/campaigns/human-vs-ai

If the competition is not completed or the official Team ROI data is unavailable, the market will remain open until reliable data is published by Aster. If no such data is available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve 50-50.

Will Team Human or Team AI win the Aster trading competition?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any 1-minute candle for MARU (MARU/USDC) during Q1 2026 (from January 1 to 11:59 PM ET on March 31) has a final “High” price that implies a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) equal to or greater than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.”

The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the MARU token price by the total token supply.

The resolution source for this market is EdgeX, specifically the MARU/USDC price feed available at:
https://pro.edgex.exchange/spot/MARU/USDC
with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles).

Only the EdgeX MARU/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or data sources will not be considered.

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Ethena
$1,151,282 Vol.
No

Paxos
$1,200,931 Vol.
No

Frax
$298,103 Vol.
No

Native Markets
$1,658,696 Vol.
Yes

Agora
$303,406 Vol.
No

Sky
$494,318 Vol.
No

Market Context

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Rules

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Market Context

Who will win the USDH ticker?

About

Related

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Ethena$1,151,282 Vol.No

Paxos$1,200,931 Vol.No

Frax$298,103 Vol.No

Native Markets$1,658,696 Vol.Yes

Agora$303,406 Vol.No

Sky$494,318 Vol.No

Market Context

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Rules

Who will win the USDH ticker?

Market Context

Who will win the USDH ticker?

About

Related

Ethena
$1,151,282 Vol.
No

Paxos
$1,200,931 Vol.
No

Frax
$298,103 Vol.
No

Native Markets
$1,658,696 Vol.
Yes

Agora
$303,406 Vol.
No

Sky
$494,318 Vol.
No