Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?

Zohran Mamdani 100.0%

Whitney Tilson <1%

Andrew Cuomo <1%

Eric Adams <1%

$57,002,515 Vol.

Jun 24, 2025

Whitney Tilson

$1,073,908 Vol.

Andrew Cuomo

$17,826,732 Vol.

Eric Adams

$1,555,323 Vol.

Zellnor Myrie

$897,161 Vol.

Scott Stringer

$1,308,593 Vol.

Brad Lander

$5,084,394 Vol.

Letitia James

$1,203,460 Vol.

Jumaane Williams

$748,825 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani

$17,848,349 Vol.

Yes

Ritchie Torres

$2,598,241 Vol.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$3,261,515 Vol.

Andrew Yang

$1,230,926 Vol.

Adrienne Adams

$2,365,088 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani 100.0%

Whitney Tilson <1%

Andrew Cuomo <1%

Eric Adams <1%

$57,002,515 Vol.

Jun 24, 2025

Whitney Tilson

$1,073,908 Vol.

Andrew Cuomo

$17,826,732 Vol.

Eric Adams

$1,555,323 Vol.

Zellnor Myrie

$897,161 Vol.

Scott Stringer

$1,308,593 Vol.

Brad Lander

$5,084,394 Vol.

Letitia James

$1,203,460 Vol.

Jumaane Williams

$748,825 Vol.

Zohran Mamdani

$17,848,349 Vol.

Yes

Ritchie Torres

$2,598,241 Vol.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$3,261,515 Vol.

Andrew Yang

$1,230,926 Vol.

Adrienne Adams

$2,365,088 Vol.

The Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City is scheduled for June 24, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andrew Cuomo wins the 2025 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2025 Democratic Primary for the Mayor of New York City takes place this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final outcome: No

Jun 23 2025

Mamdani Surges Ahead

Zohran Mamdani has taken a surprising lead over Andrew Cuomo in the final round of ranked-choice voting for the NYC Democratic mayoral primary, with polls showing him ahead 52-48. His surge, backed by strong support among diverse voter groups and endorsements for progressive policies, positions him as the favorite just before the election.

Jun 16 2025

NYTimes Condemns Mamdani

Andrew Cuomo is actively campaigning for NYC mayor, gaining endorsements from the New York Times and significant financial support from real estate interests and donors like Bill Ackman, while facing criticism for past controversies and ties to Trump donors. Meanwhile, Zohran Mamdani emerges as a strong progressive contender, supported by unions and figures like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, polarizing the Democratic primary with stark ideological differences.

May 29 2025

Mamdani Challenges Cuomo Lead

Zohran Mamdani has surged in the New York City Democratic mayoral primary, closing the gap with frontrunner Andrew Cuomo to single digits, with recent polls showing Cuomo at 54% and Mamdani at 46% in the final round of ranked-choice voting. Meanwhile, Cuomo's campaign faces scrutiny over his avoidance of press and public, contrasted by Mamdani's grassroots efforts and key endorsements like Public Advocate Jumaane Williams.

Apr 8 2025

Cuomo Mayoral Criticism Grows

Andrew Cuomo's potential run for NYC mayor draws heavy criticism over past scandals, including the nursing home controversy and parole board decisions that freed cop-killers, while opponents like Zohran Mamdani gain traction with progressive support and protests. Meanwhile, other candidates and public figures question Cuomo's record on housing, subway safety, and marijuana legalization, highlighting a polarized race.

Feb 11 2025

Cuomo Eyes Mayoral Run

Andrew Cuomo is strongly considering a run for NYC mayor, potentially challenging incumbent Eric Adams, whose recent legal charges have been dismissed but whose reputation remains tarnished. Speculation is rife about Cuomo's potential candidacy, with mixed reactions from business leaders and strong support among some voter demographics, while Adams faces criticism for his political stances and perceived vulnerabilities.

Jan 5 2025

Cuomo Faces Mixed Reactions

Andrew Cuomo remains a polarizing figure, with some labeling him a 'mass murderer' and opposing his return to political office, while others express nostalgia for his governance compared to current NYC leadership like Kathy Hochul and Eric Adams. Additionally, his past advocacy for congestion pricing in NYC is highlighted, though he now opposes it, as the policy moves forward under MTA leadership he once appointed.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final outcome: No

Jun 23 2025

Mamdani Surges Ahead

Jun 16 2025

NYTimes Condemns Mamdani

May 29 2025

Mamdani Challenges Cuomo Lead

Apr 8 2025

Cuomo Mayoral Criticism Grows

Feb 11 2025

Cuomo Eyes Mayoral Run

Jan 5 2025

Cuomo Faces Mixed Reactions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zohran Mamdani" at 100%, followed by "Whitney Tilson" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?" has generated $57 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 30, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?" is "Zohran Mamdani" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Whitney Tilson" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $57 million traded on “Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

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On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "Zohran Mamdani" in the "Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "Zohran Mamdani" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?" market has an active community of 2,983 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?

Who will win Dem nomination for NYC Mayor?

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