Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$70,395,919 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 26%

Christopher Waller 15.0%

Scott Bessent 2.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,395,919
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$70,395,919 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 26%

Christopher Waller 15.0%

Scott Bessent 2.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,238,819 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,860,843 Vol.

26%

Christopher Waller

$1,904,721 Vol.

15%

Scott Bessent

$1,430,032 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,459,313 Vol.

3%

Rick Rieder

$1,210,312 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$1,190,141 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,607,006 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,350,068 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,204,839 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,333,594 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$749,360 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$567,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,518,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,139,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,265,266 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,150,195 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,351,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$280,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,490,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$10,357,347 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$783,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$181,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,114,112 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$651,929 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$70,395,919
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.