Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$70,580,414 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 27%

Christopher Waller 14.1%

Scott Bessent 2.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,580,414
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$70,580,414 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 27%

Christopher Waller 14.1%

Scott Bessent 2.7%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,278,612 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,882,121 Vol.

27%

Christopher Waller

$1,914,774 Vol.

14%

Scott Bessent

$1,440,636 Vol.

3%

Rick Rieder

$1,217,904 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,496,660 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$1,200,350 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,355,231 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,615,297 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,217,380 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,151,519 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$654,601 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$10,387,850 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,335,594 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$750,682 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$567,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,518,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,139,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,265,266 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,356,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$280,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,490,818 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$783,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$181,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,124,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$70,580,414
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.