Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$70,408,031 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 26%

Christopher Waller 14.4%

Michelle Bowman 3.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,408,031
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$70,408,031 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 26%

Christopher Waller 14.4%

Michelle Bowman 3.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,240,285 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,861,156 Vol.

26%

Christopher Waller

$1,905,013 Vol.

14%

Michelle Bowman

$1,464,830 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$1,431,732 Vol.

3%

Rick Rieder

$1,210,565 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$1,190,281 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,607,146 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,350,208 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,204,979 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,334,594 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$750,360 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$567,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,518,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,139,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,265,266 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,150,195 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,351,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$280,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,490,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$10,357,347 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$783,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$181,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,114,112 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$651,929 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$70,408,031
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.