Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$70,184,403 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 53%

Kevin Warsh 28%

Christopher Waller 12.3%

Rick Rieder 3.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,184,403
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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$70,184,403 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 53%

Kevin Warsh 28%

Christopher Waller 12.3%

Rick Rieder 3.0%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,189,220 Vol.

53%

Kevin Warsh

$1,846,115 Vol.

28%

Christopher Waller

$1,879,574 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$1,196,153 Vol.

3%

Scott Bessent

$1,412,502 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,422,736 Vol.

1%

Stephen Miran

$1,597,294 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,182,399 Vol.

1%

Judy Shelton

$1,326,707 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,198,263 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,147,245 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$651,163 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,333,594 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$749,360 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$567,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,518,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,139,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,265,266 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,351,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$280,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,490,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$10,357,347 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$783,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$181,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,114,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$70,184,403
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.