Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$69,799,126 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 25%

Christopher Waller 13.3%

Rick Rieder 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69,799,126
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$69,799,126 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 52%

Kevin Warsh 25%

Christopher Waller 13.3%

Rick Rieder 3.9%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,124,740 Vol.

52%

Kevin Warsh

$1,834,247 Vol.

25%

Christopher Waller

$1,836,561 Vol.

13%

Rick Rieder

$1,184,375 Vol.

4%

Scott Bessent

$1,382,980 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,414,508 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,164,325 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,302,438 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,535,288 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,167,185 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,141,829 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$641,826 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,332,594 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$749,330 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$566,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,517,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,138,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,222,494 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,340,421 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$279,434 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,489,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$10,356,347 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$779,506 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$181,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,109,562 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$69,799,126
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.