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Politics·Buy

Who will acquire TikTok?

Market icon
Politics·Buy

Who will acquire TikTok?

$3,209,330 Vol.

Jun 30, 2025
Polymarket

$3,209,330 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Microsoft

$466,715 Vol.

No

Market icon

Amazon

$128,597 Vol.

No

Market icon

Frank McCourt

$397,922 Vol.

No

Market icon

Perplexity AI

$63,063 Vol.

No

Market icon

Oracle

$663,473 Vol.

No

Market icon

Meta

$97,033 Vol.

No

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Walmart

$52,029 Vol.

No

Market icon

X (Twitter)

$36,549 Vol.

No

Market icon

Rumble

$63,679 Vol.

No

Market icon

Steve Mnuchin

$31,069 Vol.

No

Market icon

Elon Musk

$203,341 Vol.

No

Market icon

Bobby Kotick

$78,375 Vol.

No

Market icon

Sam Altman

$87,680 Vol.

No

Market icon

Larry Ellison

$441,490 Vol.

No

Market icon

MrBeast

$215,488 Vol.

No

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Alexis Ohanian

$54,181 Vol.

No

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AppLovin

$19,388 Vol.

No

Market icon

Tim Stokely

$109,258 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Microsoft by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Microsoft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Amazon, by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Amazon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Frank McCourt, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Frank McCourt,; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Frank McCourt and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Perplexity AI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Perplexity AI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Oracle Corporation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Oracle, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Meta Platforms, Inc by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Meta, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Walmart, by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Walmart, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with X (formerly Twitter), by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Rumble by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Rumble, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Steve Mnuchin, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Steve Mnuchin; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Steve Mnuchin and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Elon Musk; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Bobby Kotick, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Bobby Kotick; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Bobby Kotick and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Sam Altman, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Sam Altman; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Larry Ellison , either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Larry Ellison ; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Larry Ellison and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that MrBeast (James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson), either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by MrBeast; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from MrBeast and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Alexis Ohanian, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Alexis Ohanian; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Alexis Ohanian and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with AppLovin, by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or AppLovin, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Tim Stokely, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Tim Stokely; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Tim Stokely and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Microsoft by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Microsoft, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Amazon, by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Amazon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Frank McCourt, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Frank McCourt,; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Frank McCourt and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Perplexity AI by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Perplexity AI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Oracle Corporation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Oracle, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Meta Platforms, Inc by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Meta, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Walmart, by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Walmart, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with X (formerly Twitter), by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or X, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Rumble by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or Rumble, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Steve Mnuchin, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Steve Mnuchin; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Steve Mnuchin and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Elon Musk; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Bobby Kotick, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Bobby Kotick; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Bobby Kotick and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Sam Altman, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Sam Altman; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Sam Altman and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Larry Ellison , either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Larry Ellison ; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Larry Ellison and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that MrBeast (James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson), either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by MrBeast; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from MrBeast and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Alexis Ohanian, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Alexis Ohanian; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Alexis Ohanian and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that TikTok will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with AppLovin, by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by TikTok will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. If TikTok is part of an acquisition or merger involving the specified entity, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether it is the sole buyer or partner. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from TikTok or AppLovin, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reporting confirms that Tim Stokely, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Tim Stokely; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Tim Stokely and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will acquire TikTok?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Microsoft" at 0%, followed by "Amazon" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will acquire TikTok?" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will acquire TikTok?," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Who will acquire TikTok?" is "Microsoft" at just 0%, with "Amazon" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Who will acquire TikTok?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.