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Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

Market icon

Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?

$217,242 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$217,242 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

The Clearing Company

$1,611 Vol.

No

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Railbird

$54,038 Vol.

No

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ICE

$25,234 Vol.

No

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LedgerX

$1,760 Vol.

No

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Aristotle

$31,306 Vol.

No

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ForecastEx

$43,540 Vol.

No

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CBOE

$17,930 Vol.

No

Market icon

Small Exchange

$41,822 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The CFTC's March 12, 2026, Prediction Markets Advisory provided critical guidance for designated contract markets (DCMs) to self-certify sports event contracts, emphasizing robust anti-manipulation analysis, reliable settlement data sources, and pre-filing consultations with sports leagues to meet core principles under the Commodity Exchange Act. Polymarket US filed a self-certification amendment on March 26 for Total Score Contracts—binary options on combined scores in events like soccer and football—positioning it as an early mover ahead of the March 31 deadline. No other major DCMs, such as LedgerX or Small Exchange, publicly confirmed filings by deadline, amid heightened scrutiny and an ongoing ANPRM seeking comments on prediction market rules by late April. MLB's March 19 MOU with CFTC underscores league involvement for betting integrity. Traders should monitor CFTC filings for resolution triggers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$217,242
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 24, 2025, 12:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The CFTC's March 12, 2026, Prediction Markets Advisory provided critical guidance for designated contract markets (DCMs) to self-certify sports event contracts, emphasizing robust anti-manipulation analysis, reliable settlement data sources, and pre-filing consultations with sports leagues to meet core principles under the Commodity Exchange Act. Polymarket US filed a self-certification amendment on March 26 for Total Score Contracts—binary options on combined scores in events like soccer and football—positioning it as an early mover ahead of the March 31 deadline. No other major DCMs, such as LedgerX or Small Exchange, publicly confirmed filings by deadline, amid heightened scrutiny and an ongoing ANPRM seeking comments on prediction market rules by late April. MLB's March 19 MOU with CFTC underscores league involvement for betting integrity. Traders should monitor CFTC filings for resolution triggers.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$217,242
End Date
Mar 31, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 24, 2025, 12:47 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Clearing Company" at 0%, followed by "Railbird" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?" has generated $217.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 24, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?" is "The Clearing Company" at just 0%, with "Railbird" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.