Harry and Harriet, the beloved bald eagle pair at the viral Traverse City nest cam, laid their first egg on March 2, second on March 5, and third on March 8, placing the initial hatch window squarely in early April per standard 35-40 day incubation periods. Trader consensus favors April 8 (27.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner, reflecting day-37 timing for egg one amid steady parental brooding and no disruptions, closely trailed by April 9 (24.5%) and April 7 (17.5%) due to natural variability in pip and zip progression. With no pips confirmed yet on day 33, the market's tight race hinges on live cam sightings of first cracks over the next 48 hours, potentially shifting odds dramatically as eaglet debut buzz peaks on YouTube streams.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhen will the first eaglet hatch?
When will the first eaglet hatch?
April 8 28%
April 9 25%
April 7 18%
April 10 12%
NEW
$67,728 Vol.
NEW
$67,728 Vol.
Apr 16, 2026
April 4
<1%
April 5
1%
April 6
5%
April 7
18%
April 8
28%
April 9
25%
April 10
12%
April 11
6%
April 12
3%
April 13
1%
April 14
1%
April 15
1%
April 16
1%
No Hatch before April 17
5%
April 8 28%
April 9 25%
April 7 18%
April 10 12%
NEW
$67,728 Vol.
NEW
$67,728 Vol.
Apr 16, 2026
April 4
$13,749 Vol.
<1%
April 5
$7,759 Vol.
1%
April 6
$4,680 Vol.
5%
April 7
$5,562 Vol.
18%
April 8
$2,056 Vol.
28%
April 9
$3,392 Vol.
25%
April 10
$3,554 Vol.
12%
April 11
$3,209 Vol.
6%
April 12
$2,608 Vol.
3%
April 13
$4,525 Vol.
1%
April 14
$1,777 Vol.
1%
April 15
$1,358 Vol.
1%
April 16
$1,674 Vol.
1%
No Hatch before April 17
$8,635 Vol.
5%
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.Harry and Harriet, the beloved bald eagle pair at the viral Traverse City nest cam, laid their first egg on March 2, second on March 5, and third on March 8, placing the initial hatch window squarely in early April per standard 35-40 day incubation periods. Trader consensus favors April 8 (27.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner, reflecting day-37 timing for egg one amid steady parental brooding and no disruptions, closely trailed by April 9 (24.5%) and April 7 (17.5%) due to natural variability in pip and zip progression. With no pips confirmed yet on day 33, the market's tight race hinges on live cam sightings of first cracks over the next 48 hours, potentially shifting odds dramatically as eaglet debut buzz peaks on YouTube streams.
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$67,728End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.Harry and Harriet, the beloved bald eagle pair at the viral Traverse City nest cam, laid their first egg on March 2, second on March 5, and third on March 8, placing the initial hatch window squarely in early April per standard 35-40 day incubation periods. Trader consensus favors April 8 (27.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner, reflecting day-37 timing for egg one amid steady parental brooding and no disruptions, closely trailed by April 9 (24.5%) and April 7 (17.5%) due to natural variability in pip and zip progression. With no pips confirmed yet on day 33, the market's tight race hinges on live cam sightings of first cracks over the next 48 hours, potentially shifting odds dramatically as eaglet debut buzz peaks on YouTube streams.
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
Volume
$67,728End Date
Apr 16, 2026Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Harry and Harriet, the beloved bald eagle pair at the viral Traverse City nest cam, laid their first egg on March 2, second on March 5, and third on March 8, placing the initial hatch window squarely in early April per standard 35-40 day incubation periods. Trader consensus favors April 8 (27.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner, reflecting day-37 timing for egg one amid steady parental brooding and no disruptions, closely trailed by April 9 (24.5%) and April 7 (17.5%) due to natural variability in pip and zip progression. With no pips confirmed yet on day 33, the market's tight race hinges on live cam sightings of first cracks over the next 48 hours, potentially shifting odds dramatically as eaglet debut buzz peaks on YouTube streams.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions