US forces in Venezuela by...?
$2,302,604 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$1,101,378 Vol.
6%
December 31
$1,101,378 Vol.
6%
January 31
$1,068 Vol.
14%
January 31
$1,068 Vol.
14%
March 31
$55 Vol.
27%
March 31
$55 Vol.
27%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between September 6, 2025, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Sep 6, 2025, 9:03 PM UTC
Volume
$2,302,604End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Sep 6, 2025, 9:03 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$2,302,604 Vol.
US forces in Venezuela by...?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
December 31
$1,101,378 Vol.
6%
January 31
$1,068 Vol.
14%
March 31
$55 Vol.
27%
About
Volume
$2,302,604End Date
Mar 31, 2026Created At
Sep 6, 2025, 9:03 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.