Name: United States Grand Prix Winner
Start: 2025-10-08T19:56:43.205413Z
End: 2025-10-19T00:00:00Z

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This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for October 19, 2025.

If the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after December 1, 2025, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the "Final Classification" published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The "Final Classification" is typically released 30–60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and credible sports news reporting.

Oscar Piastri

Max Verstappen

George Russell

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Yuki Tsunoda

Lance Stroll

Carlos Sainz

Pierre Gasly

Nico Hulkenberg

Franco Colapinto

Lando Norris

Charles Leclerc

Lewis Hamilton

Fernando Alonso

Liam Lawson

Isack Hadjar

Alexander Albon

Oliver Bearman

Gabriel Bortoleto

Esteban Ocon

United States Grand Prix Winner

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. 

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver.

If the listed driver wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Driver?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship, currently scheduled for October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player is eliminated from the championship under the tournament's official rules, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies.

If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?

The 2025 FIDE World Rapid Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 26-28, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship.

If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

The 2025 FIDE World Blitz Championship chess tournament is scheduled for December 29-30, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

This market will resolve to the listed player who wins the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship.

If a listed player is eliminated from this tournament, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?

This polymarket will resolve to the player who wins the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player wins the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the tournament per the official rules of the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Learner Tien win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.

If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes first in the league phase of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. 

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish first in the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA’s official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition.

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the listed team that is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 Turkish Süper Lig.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Süper Lig title (e.g., mathematical elimination before the end of the season), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 Süper Lig season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Turkish Football Federation (https://www.tff.org/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Serie A standings for the 2025-26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Serie A standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Serie A tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025-26 Serie A season is cancelled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A soccer. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings for the 2025–26 season.

If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Ligue 1 tiebreaking procedures.

If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Paris St-Germain finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Tennis Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Tennis Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Tennis Player?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Verstappen is no longer officially contracted to race for Red Bull Racing in Formula 1 by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Max Verstappen must no longer be under contract to race for Red Bull Racing in Formula 1 as of the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes". An agreement indicating he will leave after the resolution date will not qualify as "Yes" for this market. 

Temporary absences (e.g., due to injury, suspension, or personal reasons) do not count unless they are accompanied by official confirmation of contract termination or departure.

The primary resolution source will be official statements from Red Bull Racing or Formula 1, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? 

This is a polymarket to predict which conference the team that wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship will be from.

If a team from the listed conference wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the College Football Playoff is canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA Football.

Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Golfer?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big 10 or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big 10's official Men's Basketball results, as published on bigten.org or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Michigan State win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter.

If the listed fighter wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Merab Dvalishvili win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best UFC Fighter?

This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from California?

The 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship will premiere on Peacock this fall (https://www.pokernews.com/news/2025/07/national-heads-up-poker-championship-return-49301.htm). This market predicts which player will win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player wins the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2025, 11:59 pm ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the final players agree to a prize‑money chop, this market will resolve based on the player who is awarded the official tournament trophy.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Peacock, along with streaming coverage on PokerGO and PokerStars. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

The 2025 Tech Mahindra Global Chess League is scheduled for December 14-24, 2025 in Mumbai, India.

This market will resolve according to the listed team that wins the 2025 Tech Mahindra Global Chess League.

If a listed team is eliminated from this competition, the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If multiple teams tie as winners of the Tech Mahindra Global Chess League, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure used by the Tech Mahindra Global Chess League.

If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Tech Mahindra Global Chess League (https://globalchessleague.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Triveni Continental Kings win the 2025 Tech Mahindra Global Chess League?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, sports event contracts listed by a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM), whether accessed directly or through a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), are legally prohibited or blocked for users in at least one U.S. state or nationwide. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying ban must have gone into effect during the market window and may occur through any of the following:

CFTC Action: A final order, rule, or directive under Regulation 40.11 or other CFTC authority that results in the removal or suspension of sports event contracts, either nationally or within one or more states.

Court Order or Judgment: A temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, permanent injunction, or final judgment issued by a U.S. federal or state court that has the effect of suspending or terminating user access to sports event contracts in one or more states or nationwide. This includes situations where a court denies an exchange’s claim of federal preemption and thereby allows a state to enforce its gambling laws against sports event contracts while adjudication is pending, leading to blocked access in that state.

State Enforcement Upheld by Courts: If a state action (such as a cease-and-desist order or regulatory enforcement) is challenged on preemption grounds and the court declines to enjoin the state, resulting in blocked access to sports event contracts in that state, this will qualify.

To resolve “Yes,” the block or ban must actually take effect (users lose access or ability to trade/maintain positions). Mere announcements, proposed rules, or pending litigation without effect do not qualify.

Voluntary pauses or withdrawals by a DCM or FCM, absent legal compulsion, do not qualify.

If a qualifying block takes effect and is implemented the market will still resolve “Yes” regardless if it is later stayed, reversed, or vacated. 

Actions ordered before the deadline but which take effect only after, will not qulaify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?

This polymarket will resolve to the team that wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed pair wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this pair to win the tournament per the official rules of the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Western Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Western Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Eastern Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Eastern Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?

This is a polymarket to predict whether a team from the AFC or the NFC will win the NFL 2025-26 Super Bowl.

If the winning team of the 2025-26 Super Bowl is from the AFC, this market will resolve to "AFC".

If the winning team of the 2025-26 Super Bowl is from the NFC, this market will resolve to "NFC".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to 50–50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Super Bowl - Winning Conference 

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy,  Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Soccer Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Soccer Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Christian Pulisic win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best Soccer Player?

The 2025 FIDE World Rapid & Blitz Championships are scheduled for December 26-30, 2025 in Doha, Qatar.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Magnus Carlsen wins both the FIDE World Rapid Open Championship and the FIDE World Blitz Open Championship at this event. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Carlsen is eliminated from contention to win either the World Rapid Open Championship or the World Blitz Open Championship, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If 2025 FIDE World Rapid & Blitz Championships are cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Rapid and Blitz Championships tournament organizers (https://worldrapidandblitz2025.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

United States Grand Prix Winner

Oscar Piastri
$98,841 Vol.
No

Max Verstappen
$206,715 Vol.
Yes

George Russell
$80,928 Vol.
No

Andrea Kimi Antonelli
$13,345 Vol.
No

Yuki Tsunoda
$2,160 Vol.
No

Lance Stroll
$1,776 Vol.
No

Carlos Sainz
$7,001 Vol.
No

Pierre Gasly
$1,675 Vol.
No

Nico Hulkenberg
$4,349 Vol.
No

Franco Colapinto
$1,563 Vol.
No

Lando Norris
$111,072 Vol.
No

Charles Leclerc
$82,226 Vol.
No

Lewis Hamilton
$27,886 Vol.
No

Fernando Alonso
$5,986 Vol.
No

Liam Lawson
$1,669 Vol.
No

Isack Hadjar
$884 Vol.
No

Alexander Albon
$948 Vol.
No

Oliver Bearman
$2,529 Vol.
No

Gabriel Bortoleto
$1,359 Vol.
No

Esteban Ocon
$1,323 Vol.
No

Market Context

United States Grand Prix Winner

Rules

United States Grand Prix Winner

Market Context

United States Grand Prix Winner

About

Related

United States Grand Prix Winner

Oscar Piastri$98,841 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Max Verstappen$206,715 Vol.Yescircle check

George Russell$80,928 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Andrea Kimi Antonelli$13,345 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Yuki Tsunoda$2,160 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lance Stroll$1,776 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Carlos Sainz$7,001 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Pierre Gasly$1,675 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Nico Hulkenberg$4,349 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Franco Colapinto$1,563 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lando Norris$111,072 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Charles Leclerc$82,226 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lewis Hamilton$27,886 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Fernando Alonso$5,986 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Liam Lawson$1,669 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Isack Hadjar$884 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Alexander Albon$948 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Oliver Bearman$2,529 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Gabriel Bortoleto$1,359 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Esteban Ocon$1,323 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

United States Grand Prix Winner

Rules

United States Grand Prix Winner

Market Context

United States Grand Prix Winner

About

Related

Oscar Piastri
$98,841 Vol.
No

Max Verstappen
$206,715 Vol.
Yes

George Russell
$80,928 Vol.
No

Andrea Kimi Antonelli
$13,345 Vol.
No

Yuki Tsunoda
$2,160 Vol.
No

Lance Stroll
$1,776 Vol.
No

Carlos Sainz
$7,001 Vol.
No

Pierre Gasly
$1,675 Vol.
No

Nico Hulkenberg
$4,349 Vol.
No

Franco Colapinto
$1,563 Vol.
No

Lando Norris
$111,072 Vol.
No

Charles Leclerc
$82,226 Vol.
No

Lewis Hamilton
$27,886 Vol.
No

Fernando Alonso
$5,986 Vol.
No

Liam Lawson
$1,669 Vol.
No

Isack Hadjar
$884 Vol.
No

Alexander Albon
$948 Vol.
No

Oliver Bearman
$2,529 Vol.
No

Gabriel Bortoleto
$1,359 Vol.
No

Esteban Ocon
$1,323 Vol.
No