Arsenal tops trader consensus at 25.5% implied probability for UEFA Champions League glory, buoyed by their perfect 8-0-0 league phase record and favorable quarter-final tie against underdog Sporting CP, despite a defensive injury crisis ruling out Gabriel Magalhães (knee) and William Saliba (ankle) for the first leg on April 7. Bayern Munich (22.5%) trails closely after a dominant 10-2 aggregate Round of 16 rout of Atalanta, though their blockbuster clash with Real Madrid introduces high variance. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (14.5%) remain competitive amid domestic title pushes, but Raphinha's absence hampers Barca's derby against Atletico Madrid, while PSG faces a stern Liverpool test; the bunched odds underscore evenly matched knockout paths with upset potential in these high-stakes ties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 26%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 15%
$224,742,120 Vol.
$224,742,120 Vol.
Arsenal
26%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
15%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
7%
Atletico Madrid
4%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 26%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 15%
$224,742,120 Vol.
$224,742,120 Vol.
Arsenal
26%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
15%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
7%
Atletico Madrid
4%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal tops trader consensus at 25.5% implied probability for UEFA Champions League glory, buoyed by their perfect 8-0-0 league phase record and favorable quarter-final tie against underdog Sporting CP, despite a defensive injury crisis ruling out Gabriel Magalhães (knee) and William Saliba (ankle) for the first leg on April 7. Bayern Munich (22.5%) trails closely after a dominant 10-2 aggregate Round of 16 rout of Atalanta, though their blockbuster clash with Real Madrid introduces high variance. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (14.5%) remain competitive amid domestic title pushes, but Raphinha's absence hampers Barca's derby against Atletico Madrid, while PSG faces a stern Liverpool test; the bunched odds underscore evenly matched knockout paths with upset potential in these high-stakes ties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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