Arsenal's surge to 27.5% implied probability stems from their flawless Champions League knockout progression and Premier League title push, bolstered by a rock-solid defense and Bukayo Saka's form, yet Bayern Munich lurks closely at 21.5% thanks to Harry Kane's goal haul and Vincent Kompany's tactical edge. Barcelona's 16.5% share reflects Lewandowski's revival and Flick's high press, while PSG and a slumping Real Madrid trail amid Mbappé's inconsistency and injury woes. This bunched trader consensus underscores knockout volatility, with no team holding a decisive edge in squad depth, home ties, or head-to-head history, as upsets loom in upcoming semifinals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 28%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$216,325,121 Vol.
$216,325,121 Vol.
Arsenal
28%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
4%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 28%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$216,325,121 Vol.
$216,325,121 Vol.
Arsenal
28%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
4%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal's surge to 27.5% implied probability stems from their flawless Champions League knockout progression and Premier League title push, bolstered by a rock-solid defense and Bukayo Saka's form, yet Bayern Munich lurks closely at 21.5% thanks to Harry Kane's goal haul and Vincent Kompany's tactical edge. Barcelona's 16.5% share reflects Lewandowski's revival and Flick's high press, while PSG and a slumping Real Madrid trail amid Mbappé's inconsistency and injury woes. This bunched trader consensus underscores knockout volatility, with no team holding a decisive edge in squad depth, home ties, or head-to-head history, as upsets loom in upcoming semifinals.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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