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The Masters 2026: Winner Nationality

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The Masters 2026: Winner Nationality

Northern Ireland 100.0%

Finland 1.0%

Thailand 1.0%

England <1%

Polymarket

$3,143 Vol.

Northern Ireland 100.0%

Finland 1.0%

Thailand 1.0%

England <1%

Polymarket

$3,143 Vol.

England

$32 Vol.

No

Colombia

$238 Vol.

No

Fiji

$5 Vol.

No

Argentina

$5 Vol.

No

China

$36 Vol.

No

Finland

$5 Vol.

No

Mexico

$5 Vol.

No

USA

$555 Vol.

No

New Zealand

$20 Vol.

No

South Africa

$23 Vol.

No

Sweden

$142 Vol.

No

Thailand

$5 Vol.

No

Northern Ireland

$494 Vol.

Yes

Spain

$257 Vol.

No

Canada

$57 Vol.

No

Denmark

$23 Vol.

No

Japan

$183 Vol.

No

Norway

$1,057 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 Masters Tournament champion. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a debutant leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland clinched back-to-back Masters titles at Augusta National on Sunday, firing a final-round 71 to edge Scottie Scheffler by one stroke at 12-under, marking only the fourth player ever—joining Nicklaus, Faldo, and Woods—to defend successfully. After leading by six at 36 holes before a third-round stumble tied him with Cameron Young entering Sunday, McIlroy steadied with clutch putting on Amen Corner and the closing holes, as confirmed by the official leaderboard and green jacket ceremony. This definitive victory solidifies trader consensus at overwhelming odds for Northern Ireland, with USA's slim share tied to Scheffler's strong runner-up bid; alteration now requires improbable events like scorecard audit or disqualification.

This market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 Masters Tournament champion.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a debutant leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$3,143
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 Masters Tournament champion. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a debutant leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 Masters Tournament champion. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a debutant leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland clinched back-to-back Masters titles at Augusta National on Sunday, firing a final-round 71 to edge Scottie Scheffler by one stroke at 12-under, marking only the fourth player ever—joining Nicklaus, Faldo, and Woods—to defend successfully. After leading by six at 36 holes before a third-round stumble tied him with Cameron Young entering Sunday, McIlroy steadied with clutch putting on Amen Corner and the closing holes, as confirmed by the official leaderboard and green jacket ceremony. This definitive victory solidifies trader consensus at overwhelming odds for Northern Ireland, with USA's slim share tied to Scheffler's strong runner-up bid; alteration now requires improbable events like scorecard audit or disqualification.

This market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 Masters Tournament champion.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a debutant leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$3,143
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 3:02 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 Masters Tournament champion. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a debutant leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Masters 2026: Winner Nationality" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 18 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Northern Ireland" at 100%, followed by "England" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"The Masters 2026: Winner Nationality" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "The Masters 2026: Winner Nationality," browse the 18 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "The Masters 2026: Winner Nationality" is "Northern Ireland" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "England" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "The Masters 2026: Winner Nationality" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.