Rory McIlroy's outright victory at the 2026 Masters, finishing at 12-under par to claim the green jacket by one stroke over runner-up Scottie Scheffler, has driven the head-to-head market to 100% implied probability on McIlroy. As defending champion, McIlroy built a six-shot lead after 36 holes with a blistering second-round 65, withstood a third-round charge from Scheffler—who fired a career-low 65 at Augusta National—and closed with a one-under 71 amid pressure from the chasing pack including Cameron Young and Justin Rose. Trader consensus reflects these official leaderboard results, with no realistic post-tournament scenarios like scorecard reviews or disqualifications altering the outcome in this resolved market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThe Masters 2026: Rory McIlroy vs. Scottie Scheffler
The Masters 2026: Rory McIlroy vs. Scottie Scheffler
McIlroy
$6,946 Vol.
$6,946 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
McIlroy
$6,946 Vol.
$6,946 Vol.
Apr 13, 2026
This market will resolve to “McIlroy” if Rory McIlroy finishes with a lower cumulative score than Scottie Scheffler in the final leaderboard through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Scheffler”.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player.
If one player does not make the cut, this market will resolve in favor of the player who makes the cut.
If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player finished better within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Rory McIlroy's outright victory at the 2026 Masters, finishing at 12-under par to claim the green jacket by one stroke over runner-up Scottie Scheffler, has driven the head-to-head market to 100% implied probability on McIlroy. As defending champion, McIlroy built a six-shot lead after 36 holes with a blistering second-round 65, withstood a third-round charge from Scheffler—who fired a career-low 65 at Augusta National—and closed with a one-under 71 amid pressure from the chasing pack including Cameron Young and Justin Rose. Trader consensus reflects these official leaderboard results, with no realistic post-tournament scenarios like scorecard reviews or disqualifications altering the outcome in this resolved market.
This market will resolve to “McIlroy” if Rory McIlroy finishes with a lower cumulative score than Scottie Scheffler in the final leaderboard through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Scheffler”.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player.
If one player does not make the cut, this market will resolve in favor of the player who makes the cut.
If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player finished better within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player.
If one player does not make the cut, this market will resolve in favor of the player who makes the cut.
If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player finished better within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
Volume
$6,946End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: McIlroy
No dispute
Final outcome: McIlroy
This market will resolve to “McIlroy” if Rory McIlroy finishes with a lower cumulative score than Scottie Scheffler in the final leaderboard through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Scheffler”.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player.
If one player does not make the cut, this market will resolve in favor of the player who makes the cut.
If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player finished better within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Rory McIlroy's outright victory at the 2026 Masters, finishing at 12-under par to claim the green jacket by one stroke over runner-up Scottie Scheffler, has driven the head-to-head market to 100% implied probability on McIlroy. As defending champion, McIlroy built a six-shot lead after 36 holes with a blistering second-round 65, withstood a third-round charge from Scheffler—who fired a career-low 65 at Augusta National—and closed with a one-under 71 amid pressure from the chasing pack including Cameron Young and Justin Rose. Trader consensus reflects these official leaderboard results, with no realistic post-tournament scenarios like scorecard reviews or disqualifications altering the outcome in this resolved market.
This market will resolve to “McIlroy” if Rory McIlroy finishes with a lower cumulative score than Scottie Scheffler in the final leaderboard through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Scheffler”.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player.
If one player does not make the cut, this market will resolve in favor of the player who makes the cut.
If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player finished better within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player.
If one player does not make the cut, this market will resolve in favor of the player who makes the cut.
If the 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National is cancelled, postponed after April 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player finished better within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$6,946End Date
Apr 13, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: McIlroy
No dispute
Final outcome: McIlroy
Rory McIlroy's outright victory at the 2026 Masters, finishing at 12-under par to claim the green jacket by one stroke over runner-up Scottie Scheffler, has driven the head-to-head market to 100% implied probability on McIlroy. As defending champion, McIlroy built a six-shot lead after 36 holes with a blistering second-round 65, withstood a third-round charge from Scheffler—who fired a career-low 65 at Augusta National—and closed with a one-under 71 amid pressure from the chasing pack including Cameron Young and Justin Rose. Trader consensus reflects these official leaderboard results, with no realistic post-tournament scenarios like scorecard reviews or disqualifications altering the outcome in this resolved market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions