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The Masters 2026: Hole in One?

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The Masters 2026: Hole in One?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$81,569 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$81,569 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Shane Lowry's hole-in-one on the par-3 sixth hole during Round 3 at Augusta National on April 11 has driven trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a hole-in-one occurring at the 2026 Masters, marking the seventh ace in that hole's tournament history and Lowry's second career Masters ace. This development in the third round eliminates uncertainty, as the market resolves affirmatively upon any such feat across the four competitive rounds, regardless of ongoing play through Sunday's finale. While video confirmation and official scoring lock in the outcome, rare disputes over shot validity or measurement could theoretically prompt review, though none are indicated amid clear patron roars and broadcast verification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$81,569
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).Shane Lowry's hole-in-one on the par-3 sixth hole during Round 3 at Augusta National on April 11 has driven trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a hole-in-one occurring at the 2026 Masters, marking the seventh ace in that hole's tournament history and Lowry's second career Masters ace. This development in the third round eliminates uncertainty, as the market resolves affirmatively upon any such feat across the four competitive rounds, regardless of ongoing play through Sunday's finale. While video confirmation and official scoring lock in the outcome, rare disputes over shot validity or measurement could theoretically prompt review, though none are indicated amid clear patron roars and broadcast verification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered.

If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed.

If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).
Volume
$81,569
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player records a hole-in-one at The 2026 Masters Tournament at Augusta National. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a hole in one recorded during official tournament rounds will be considered. No hole in one recorded during practice rounds, the Par 3 contest, or any other period of play will be considered. If the tournament is postponed, this market will remain open until the tournament is completed. If The 2026 Masters is cancelled, or postponed after April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Masters website (https://www.masters.com/leaderboard).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"The Masters 2026: Hole in One?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "The Masters 2026: Hole in One?" has generated $81.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "The Masters 2026: Hole in One?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "The Masters 2026: Hole in One?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "The Masters 2026: Hole in One?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.